Benjamin Netanyahu's political future and prospective freedom now rests with Israeli prosecutors.
That's because of what happened on Tuesday, when three top Israeli police officers recommended that Netanyahu be charged with accepting bribes and engaging in fraud. While analysts believe that the attorney general's office will take several months to decide whether or not to prosecute Netanyahu, the prime minister's position has been undercut.
If nothing else, Netanyahu's coalition partners now have an opportunity to bolster their own influence.
Recognizing as much, Netanyahu reacted to the police recommendation by pushing back against suggestions it might lead to early elections before November 2019. "I can reassure you that the coalition is stable ... Neither me nor anyone else has plans for elections," he said.
Yet, it's clear that this is a political problem for Netanyahu.
Leading a complex coalition of competing right-wing parties, the prime minister must constantly endeavor to unify various divided interests. It's a full-time job.
And while Netanyahu doesn't have to call new elections for nearly two years, if one party were to cut its support for his government, Netanyahu could lose a confidence vote in the Knesset parliament. While an alternative government would have to win the favor of the Knesset in order to unseat Netanyahu, the great diversity of Israeli political groupings means that this possibility cannot be discounted.
Still, there's another dimension to this situation that we must consider: the foreign policy ramifications.
After all, as President Trump now moves to push Israel to make concessions on the Palestinian peace process, Netanyahu's fate has never been more reliant on coalition partners who oppose those concessions.
Consider the Jewish Home party, which controls the judicial portfolio. Speaking on Tuesday, the justice minister stated that Netanyahu would be able to remain in office even if a prosecution were to go ahead. Of course, such political insulation for Netanyahu would almost certainly come with an expectation of reciprocity! Nothing is free.
In that context, alongside Jewish Home's opposition to a two-state solution and its pursuit of increased settlement construction in the West Bank, we must question Netanyahu's ability to yield to Trump's requests for concessions on either of those issues. And if Netanyahu cannot concede, the peace process is dead in the water.
Put simply, this recommendation means that interesting times lie ahead.