"For the first time in NPR polling, a majority of voters disapproves of the health care law, 51 to 47 percent," Resurgent Republic, one of the groups working with NPR on the poll, writes. A Reason-Rupe survey released Thursday reported that 53 percent of Americans view Obamacare unfavorably, compared to 36 percent who support it.
Both polls are in line with the Real Clear Politics average of 40 percent in favor of the law and 52 percent opposed.
"Our survey also shows Independents have calcified in their opposition to the law, 59 to 38 percent," Resurgent wrote. "President Obama and congressional Democrats remain on the losing side of the intensity battle. Strong opposition tops strong support by 12 points (40 to 28 percent). Moreover, nearly half (48 percent) of Independents strongly oppose Obamacare while only 1 in 5 of these swing voters strongly support the law. There is a partisan intensity gap as well, as 56 percent of Democrats strongly support the law compared to 72 percent of Republicans who strongly oppose it."
The poll was take between March 19 and March 23, so it doesn't include any bump that Democrats might have received from Tuesday's announcement that Obamacare had met the goal of 7 million sign-ups by the end of March.
"The survey polled 840 likely 2014 voters nationally," Resurgent Republican explained. "The sample contains 6 percentage points more Democrats than Republicans, 37 percent Democrat and 31 percent Republican, consistent with other national polling of likely voters."
The Republican edge, despite that disadvantage in the sample, is explained in the generic congressional ballot question.
"Republicans hold a 16-point advantage among Independents (45 to 29 percent)," Resurgent found.