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Obamacare won't survive coming doctor shortage

Examiner Editorial
 
June 28, 2009

President Obama's ambitious plan for radically increasing the government's role in the nation's health care system misses one critical detail: There aren't enough primary care physicians in America now and their numbers are declining. That means government won't be able to deliver the expanded health care Obama is promising to millions of uninsured people. With access to primary care already deteriorating in many parts of the country, Obamacare will make it even harder to get a doctor's appointment without a lengthy wait. "The politicians don't talk about who's going to do this extra work," Dr. Jane Orient, executive director of the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons and author of the 1993 book "Your Doctor Is Not In," told The Examiner. "Promised coverage is not the same thing as care. All you're getting is a place in the waiting lines."

A survey of 270,000 primary care physicians last November by the Physicians Foundation found that 76 percent described themselves as "overextended or overworked." As a result, 30 percent plan to see fewer patients or scale back to part-time, 13 percent will look for a job that does not involve patient care, and 11 percent plan to retire. Since a third of all Medicare patients already have trouble finding a doctor to treat them, under Obamacare those waiting lines will be very, very long indeed.

And with the vast majority of medical students opting to enter more lucrative specialties, the U.S. will be short 124,400 front-line physicians by 2025, according to the Association of Medical Colleges. That doesn't include the additional 15,585 primary care providers that will needed under Obamacare. Sick people will have to wait months or even years for an appointment and emergency rooms will be jammed as government-subsidized demand puts even more pressure on the dwindling number of primary care providers, Dr. Orient says. Foreign-trained doctors and nurse practitioners will have be called in to act as the primary gatekeepers in Obama's supposedly new and improved health care system.

When Massachusetts mandated health insurance for all its residents, visits to the state's emergency rooms jumped 7 percent in two years because many people did not have access to a primary care physician and some patients are being forced to endure "group doctor visits" instead of one-on-one care. How can Obamacare work if there's not enough primary care physicians in the system now? "It won't work," Dr. Orient predicts. "It's going to be a disaster."

A disaster that's entirely preventable, we might add, if Congress can conjure up the courage to say "No" to this audacious power grab.

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Reader Comments

All comments on this page are subject to our Terms of Use and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Examiner or its staff. Comment box is limited to 250 words.

vanster

Jun 27, 2009

You better hope you are wrong. Multiple studies have shown that the only things that correlate with lower cost and higher quality in healthcare is the number and training of the primary care docs. Specialists and hospitals have nothing to do with it.

 

inmypajamas

Jun 27, 2009

The government will just start funding public clinics staffed by mid-levels - Physician Assistants and Nurse Practitioners because they provide primary care at a greatly reduced cost. MDs will be reserved for referrals for complicated care. It will be, in effect, a two-tier system for everyone (except for The One and his family, of course).

 

vanster

Jun 27, 2009

That gets you no net gain. The cost for mid-levels is exactly the same as for MD's. This has been well studied and their productivity is exactly the same amount lower (compared to their cost) as MD's.

 

John Schuh

Jun 28, 2009

While they are at it, they might fund health clubs. So much illness is behavior related.

 

Vinnster

Jun 28, 2009

What is going to happen, is identical to what happened with the mortgage debacle. Morgages were hard to get for people who should never have been able to get them, so Congress and Government regulators forced lending institutions to provide them anyway.

Now the same will happen for doctors. Congress will flood fly-by-night, newly created (to solve the crisis) "medical schools" with money and anyone with a pulse will be given (not earn) a medical degree.

The rich will go to real doctors and the poor will go to the sub-standard doctors...that is until Congress outlaws you paying for your own choice of doctor.

 

Oldbull

Jun 28, 2009

"So much illness is behavior related." Perhaps. But do you really want government dictating your behavior? Let government get control of distributing health care, and that's exactly what will happen. There will be no activity in your life that cannot be prescribed or proscribed on the basis of "health."

 

JamesJ

Jun 28, 2009

The number of MDs in the US is shrinking. The number of lawyers is growing. Hmmm

 

ggordon

Jun 28, 2009

Why would the senate work on a bill that exempts unions and themselves? (softball)

Complete privatization is the answer. Government was not created to work efficiently or economically in services that are market driven. All they do is foul it up for all.

 

jpick

Jun 28, 2009

I am in Canada on vacation right now....up here they have the public clinics due to doctor shortages. One big disadvantage -- you never see the same doctor. You get no preventive care. You have no relationship with a doctor anymore.

 

Southeast AZ

Jun 28, 2009

the Soviet Union 'solved' the problem by removing doctors and nurses from professional status, and turned them into skilled technicians. No liberal arts or science education at the Bachelor level, but directly into trades schools for the medical skills. Along with this came a concommittant loss of prestige, power and income. As long as there exist Beamers, Rolex and Patek-Phillipe watches, exclusive country clubs and other highly visible signs of wealth, success and prestige, there will continue to be a shortage of primary care doctors and nurses.

Obamacare *must* go the Technical Trade School route, and reduce medical practice to just another (relatively) high paying Union job.

Let's wait and see how well THAT idea flies with doctor wannabes!

 

Jun 29, 2009

"Do you really want government dictating your behavior?"

In this case, yes. Very much so.

 

Winston

Jul 1, 2009

We will not train more MDs in trade schools. Rather we will do what other socialized countries do, drain the best and the brightest MDs from the Third World. Another unintended consequence of the rush to socialism, further disadvantage the downtrodden. "Oh those ugly Americans, now they want our doctors too!" Another angle our state-run media will never touch.

 


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