A new CNN/ORC International poll released on Monday finds that 56 percent surveyed believe that it is more likely that Obama's policies will fail, with 37 percent predicting success. Last year, those figures were almost reversed, with 54 percent believing it more likely that the president's policies would succeed to 39 percent expecting failure.
The poll, though, still finds Americans hoping that Obama will be successful in his second term, with 58 percent saying they generally hope the president will succeed and 34 percent saying they hope he will fail.
Obama's approval rating has bounced up from his low of 41 percent in November and December of 2013 to a 45-percent rating. The president, though, is still underwater with 50 percent disapproving. That figure, however, is down from his 56 percent disapproval last month.
Last year proved to be a rocky one for Obama, with his popularity and the public's confidence in his managerial abilities dropping to new lows after the botched rollout of Obamacare's insurance exchanges and the revelations about National Security Agency surveillance.
The president has tried to reboot his message in 2014, vowing a "year of action" that will see him use executive actions to push his agenda if lawmakers fail to act.
The CNN poll notes that Obama's 45 percent approval matches figures from other surveys before his State of the Union, suggesting that Obama failed to get a significant bump from his highly anticipated address to Congress.
Forty-four percent said they had a generally positive view of the speech with 38 percent holding a negative view. Sixteen percent had no opinion.
Nielsen ratings showed Obama's speech had the worst television ratings of any State of the Union since 2000. Fifty-two percent said they did not watch or listen to any of Obama's speech.
The poll was conducted from Jan. 31 to Feb. 2 and has a 3-point margin of error.