While it will take years to fully take effect, President Trump’s plan to tighten immigration requirements will cut those legally allowed into the U.S. by 33 percent, according to a new analysis of the White House plan.

“I estimate that under the president's proposal, annual green card awards would be reduced by about 18 percent in the first year. After five years, when the amnesty beneficiaries begin receiving green cards, the numbers would be far greater than current levels. After 10 years, green card awards would settle to a number that is about 33 percent lower than current levels, or about 775,000 per year,” said immigration expert Jessica M. Vaughan.

That would be a yearly reduction of about 380,000 new immigrants, or enough to fill Cleveland.

The director of policy studies for the Center for Immigration Studies said today that big changes would come in restricting so-called “chain migration,” a plan outlined by the president in his Tuesday night State of the Union Address.

Essentially, the change would keep those legal immigrants can bring into the country to immediate family under the age of 21. Currently there is an open-ended list of those who can come in.

But, she added, it comes at a price. Instead of just granting amnesty or a path to citizenship for some 700,000 who signed up for Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals, the Obama-era amnesty program, he would increased that to the 1.8 million who could have signed up for it.

“The bottom line is that these cuts to chain migration would reduce total legal immigration by about 18 percent in the short term, and 33 percent in the long term (after 10 years). However, the huge size of the amnesty means that under this scheme it will take about 15 years for the chain migration cuts to offset the new green cards awarded in the amnesty. In other words, there would be instant deportation relief for 1.8 million illegal aliens, but a very long wait for immigration relief for Americans,” she said on the CIS website.

See her full report here.

Paul Bedard, the Washington Examiner's "Washington Secrets" columnist, can be contacted at pbedard@washingtonexaminer.com