Pro-amnesty Republicans constantly tell us that we must grant citizenship to the 11.5 million illegal immigrants currently living in the country because the only alternative is mass deportation. But just how many of those currently in the United States would qualify for legalization? Page 21 of the Congressional Budget Office’s Cost Estimate of the Gang of Eight immigration bill reads:
On the basis of information from DHS, the Department of Labor, and analysts who study immigration, CBO estimates that there were about 11.5 million unauthorized residents living in the United States at the end of 2011, of which about 9 percent were children under the age of 18. (That number does not include any children who have been born in the United States, and thus are citizens, to parents who are themselves unauthorized residents.) CBO estimates that approximately 8 million of the unauthorized residents already in the country would obtain legal status if S. 744 was enacted.
But if only 8 million of the 11.5 million illegal immigrants currently living in the United States will obtain legal status, what will happen to the other 3.5 million illegal immigrants?
Does the Gang of Eight expect President Obama to begin rounding up 3.5 million people for mass deportations? Or do pro-amnesty Republicans expect the 3.5 million illegal immigrants who don’t qualify for legalization to self-deport?
Worse, the CBO estimates that the Schumer-Rubio bill will only decrease future illegal immigration by 25 percent. Under current law, CBO estimates that the illegal immigrant population would grow 6.4 million by 2023. If Schumer-Rubio passes, CBO estimates illegal immigration will only grow 4.8 million.
So, ten years from now, if Schumer-Rubio becomes law, CBO estimates there will still be 8.3 million illegal immigrants in the United States (the 3.5 million not legalized today plus the 4.8 million new illegal immigrants).
Pro-amnesty Republicans will then again tell us that we can’t afford a mass deportation of 8.3 million illegal immigrants. It will be time, yet again, for another amnesty.