Webb’s Weaknesses

Published June 20, 2008 2:09pm ET



Many pundits believe that Barack Obama could get a much needed boost with working class white voters by selecting Jim Webb as his running mate. But American University political scientist Brian Schaffner produces an interesting graph comparing how the Virginia Senator performed compared to other Senate candidates among various key demographic groups in 2006. His analysis reveals Webb did well in rural areas, but it also finds some weakness among women. Moreover, by winning the same share of white men as other Democratic Senate candidates, Webb does not seem particularly well positioned for the VP choice–at least using these metrics. Schaffner explains it this way:

First, Webb did under-perform among women when compared to other Democratic Senate candidates in 2006. He won just 46% of the vote among this group compared to other Democrats who won 51% of white women in 2006. He also did not make this disadvantage up with a stronger performance among white men, as he won the same share of the vote from white men as other Democratic Senate candidates did in 2006. Webb’s problems among white women could be decisive in leading Obama toward another choice, because Obama cannot afford to alienate women who are already disappointed with the way the Democratic primary turned out.

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