Patrick Ruffini writes:
the key to victory may lie in targeting Ohio-Michigan as a megastate and trying to shift both states 1-2 points in his direction by brute force. If he does this to tune of just 1%, and nothing else changes, the electoral vote is McCain 291, Obama 247 under a tied popular vote. … To some extent, McCain should not get too distracted with defending his home turf. If this election becomes about Florida, we lose. The same is also true of swing states du jour Virginia and Colorado, which are still slightly to the right of the country, though they used to be 3-5 points moreso.
For what it’s worth, McCain
