GOP likely to pick up only fraction of the seats it redrew

The Republican redistricting juice may not be worth the squeeze after all, as a worsening political environment portends likely modest gains in the eight states that redrew congressional maps this cycle to produce 13 favorable new districts.

Nonpartisan race raters estimate Republicans could flip two to five seats under the new maps, which include redraws in Texas, Florida, Tennessee, North Carolina, and other red states. Meanwhile, Democrats stand to gain as many as six seats through redistricting in California and Utah, partially offsetting possible Republican gains elsewhere.