No, not really. From the Air & Space Power Journal:
First, the USAF has operated with some success in COIN environments before but has lost the peculiar capacities associated with COIN following drawdowns or conversions after each conflict. This is an unsurprising result, given the fact that budgets for unused tools are a luxury not easily afforded in any era. But the extended lead times required to essentially relearn COIN each time it becomes necessary have significantly affected the USAF’s ability to effectively contribute early in the fight. Second, we need to change the USAF’s mind-set from fighting COIN to enabling a partner to fight COIN. In the absence of every other alternative, the USAF may actually become the fighter in COIN, but even at that point, the service should adopt the mind-set that it will conduct a holding action while the supported partner spins up its own capacity. As a practical note, the USAF simply does not have the size to function as the air service for every nation it fights alongside, even if it sounds like a good idea (it is not). Winning strategies are conducted by, with, and through the supported partner. Furthermore, barring annihilation options, no substantial history exists to support the idea that any outside power can win an inside war.
Bottom line, the Air Force still can’t be bothered with counter-insurgency ops. If they do stand up a wing of COIN birds, it will be to create a logistics infrastructure around the new airframe so that other nations will buy it, employ it, and do the icky ground attack mission so that the Air Force doesn’t have to. I’m starting think that only way to get Blue-suiters serious about the ground attack role is to offer fixed-wing combat aircraft to the Army. HT: Defense Tech Update: An interesting response from one of our readers:
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