Obama’s Women Problem?

Published June 6, 2008 8:17pm ET



Does Obama have a problem with women voters? Will disaffected Clinton voters jump ship and support McCain? American University political scientist Brian Schaffner writes this today, offering some advice about how Obama can boost his numbers among women. Schaffner argues that in order to win, Obama not only has to win a majority of women, but also run up his margins in this demographic. He makes this observation about the differences between Gore’s and Kerry’s electoral performances among women:

In 2000, Al Gore won the popular vote because he carried women by a margin of 54-43%, an 11% advantage. In 2004, John Kerry’s advantage among women shrunk to just 3%, the smallest advantage for a Democratic nominee since Michael Dukakis in 1988. Had Kerry carried women with the same percentage of the vote that Gore had in 2000, Kerry would have cruised to victory. Instead, Kerry lost the election by more than 2 million votes.

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