Fox News projects that Democratic governor Joe Manchin will win the West Virginia Senate race. With 14% of precincts reporting, Manchin leads Republican John Raese 53% to 45%. Manchin’s win will very likely put a Senate takeover out of reach for the GOP–Republicans would have to run the table in the other toss-up races (Washington, Nevada, Colorado, Illinois) and pull off an upset in California by Carly Fiorina.