In Search of Clouds

Published



THE ORDINARY NERVOUSNESS of investors and market watchers has been converted into advanced paranoia by the business media’s preference for bad news. Consider this headline in the Wall Street Journal: “Economy’s Surge Stirs Questions About When Slowdown May Come”.

Share prices are driven to a six-year high by rising corporate profits and commentators trot out stories about bubbles and irrational exuberance, the latter a phrase used by then-chairman of the Federal Reserve Board Alan Greenspan to describe share prices–after which they doubled. Germany and Japan finally shake off their decades-long economic lethargy and show signs of recovery, and all talk is that, like rising share prices, this will force a recession-inducing rise in world interest rates.

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