The New, New Middle East

Published January 29, 2007 11:30am ET



Jerusalem

ISRAEL, says Tel Aviv University historian Paul Liptz, now has more “friends among [its] enemies than ever before,” including some “who don’t necessarily want to talk to us.” It is an arresting argument, given the outcome of the Lebanon war last summer and the subsequent elevation of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah to an iconic status. (As the war wound down, even Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak said Hezbollah was “part of the Lebanese national fabric.”) But Liptz points to recent reported diplomatic contacts between Israel and Saudi Arabia–“kind of like Earth and Mars getting married.” The region’s most salient fissure, he believes, divides the “status quo” forces (such as Egypt and Jordan) from those of radicalism and revolution (such as Iran and Hezbollah).

This seems a common view among Israelis, which explains why they may look askance at George W. Bush’s freedom agenda. Speaking to a visiting delegation of journalists sponsored by the pro-Israel American Israel Education Foundation (which supports the American Israel Public Affairs Committee), Liptz scorns the notion that democracy can transform illiberal Middle Eastern societies. Former Labour party minister Matan Vilnai, an ex-army general, calls America’s democratization program “nonsense.” On the Israeli right, Silvan Shalom, a Likud party member of the Knesset, blames the U.S.-led democracy push for enabling Hamas to win the Palestinian elections in January 2006.

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