Poll that correctly predicted Trump’s upset in 2016 predicts another victory

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Pollsters at the University of Southern California who used a unique method to predict President Trump’s 2016 election victory say it looks like he is heading for reelection next week.

“When we calculate how many electoral votes each candidate could get based on state level averages of the own-intention and social-circle questions, it’s looking like an Electoral College loss for Biden,” the poll’s website says. “We should note that our poll was not designed for state-level predictions, and in some states we have very few participants. Even so, in 2016 it predicted that Trump would win the electoral vote.”

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