Is Hillary in Trouble?

Published January 12, 2016 6:19pm ET



The Hillary Clinton campaign has benefited greatly from the perception that her nomination is inevitable. The DNC has done its best to favor her, with a debate schedule that leaves few opportunities for insurgent candidacies to be heard, to say nothing of how they have even unfairly punished the Sanders campaign.

Despite this, things for the Sanders campaign are suddenly looking very encouraging. Sanders is up four points in the Real Clear Politics polling average in New Hampshire. But as my colleague Michael Warren reports, the latest Monmouth poll shows Sanders opening up a huge 14 point lead in New Hampshire. The latest ARG poll in Iowa has Sanders up three points. And a Quinnipiac poll out today has Sanders up five points in Iowa. Clinton is still up 5 points in the RCP polling average in Iowa (which doesn’t yet include the Quinnipiac poll), but momentum does not appear to be going her way in the Hawkeye state. Here’s a report from today’s New York Times:

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