When asked by Bill O’Reilly in his pre-Super Bowl interview why public opinion is so against Obamacare, President Obama replied: “Actually, I think it’s pretty evenly – it’s evenly divided, Bill.” That’s only true in the sense that the Obama-McCain presidential race, decided by 7 points, was also “evenly divided.” According to the average results of the four most recent health care polls listed by Real Clear Politics – CNN, Rasmussen, Fox, and CBS/New York Times – Americans support the full repeal of Obamacare by nearly 10 percentage points: 51 to 41.5 percent.

But even that number significantly underestimates support for repeal. The median result of the four polls is 53 to 40.5 percent, a margin of 12.5 points. That’s because the outlier poll is CBS/New York Times, whose margin is 16 points removed from any of the other three polls and 24 points removed from the average of the other three polls. While CNN, Rasmussen, and Fox all show Americans supporting repeal by between 8 and 21 percentage points, the CNN/New York Times poll shows Americans opposing repeal by 8 points.