Polling’s dirty little secret

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Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of Washington Secrets, which is dominated by fraud of one kind or another. First up, we look at the scandal rocking the polling world today, and why it might be even more common than you realize. Then, we recap the life of a prominent fraudster whose pardon appeal has failed…

It was one of the worst-kept secrets in polling. Publish a faked poll or put your hand on the scales to give a surprise result, and the numbers will quickly be amplified by breathless media coverage, social media discussion, and maybe even by skewing the forecast gods of the aggregation world.

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