Where stands the latest presidential polling? Not exactly in the place you might expect, given the large number of commentators who consider the race over and Hillary Clinton about as good as elected.

Looking at the four-way pairings in the RealClearPolitics listing of recent polls, and taking just those for which interviewing was conducted over the last two weeks, since Aug. 7, Hillary Clinton is averaging 41 percent of the vote and Donald Trump 37 percent, with 9 percent for Gary Johnson and 3 percent for Jill Stein. These are weak showings for both major party nominees; their counterparts in polling at this point in the last four presidential cycles were splitting more than 90 percent of the vote, yet Trump and Clinton combine for just 78 percent. That’s perhaps what might be expected with two nominees who get such high negative ratings from voters.