Democrats have a political violence denial problem

Published May 15, 2026 6:58am ET | Updated May 15, 2026 6:58am ET



People usually associate conspiracy theories with the fringe political Right. The mainstream Left is doing its best to change that narrative. According to a new YouGov poll, 42% of Democrats believe the 2024 Butler, Pennsylvania, assassination attempt on President Donald Trump was staged — despite him being shot in the ear on camera.

That is an astonishing number. If you walk into any liberal dominated area — a college campus, coffee shop, or vegan grocery store, for example — nearly half the people you meet will believe the president faked or orchestrated his own near-murder. And they don’t just believe this about the Butler attempt — 34% of Democrats believe the same thing about the White House Correspondents’ Association dinner shooting, and 26% believe Ryan Routh’s attempted assassination at Trump’s Florida golf club was staged.

Two Washington Examiner writers witnessed the Butler shooting, where Trump and three others were shot, one fatally. Roughly a dozen Washington Examiner staff members, including myself, were present at the WHCA dinner shooting at the Washington Hilton. These attempts on Trump’s life were not, in fact, staged, and you’d have to be delusional to believe they were.

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It’s especially shocking that the incident Democrats are most likely to believe was staged was the most impossible incident to fabricate. We all watched Trump get shot, we all saw the blood running down his face, and many saw footage of the bloody mess left behind where Corey Comperatore, David Dutch, and James Copenhaver were shot. You mean to tell me all that blood was fake, and Helen Comperatore’s husband wasn’t shot dead while shielding his family? If that’s the case, then whose lifeless body did we see get carried into a white tent in the bodycam footage?

Left: Then Republican presidential candidate President Donald Turmp is helped off the stage at a campaign event in Butler, Pennsylvania, on July 13, 2024, after being shot. (Gene J. Puskar/AP) Right: White House Correspondents' Dinner shooting suspect Cole Allen runs past the Washington Hilton ballroom security checkpoint. (The Justice Department)
Left: Then Republican presidential candidate President Donald Turmp is helped off the stage at a campaign event in Butler, Pennsylvania, on July 13, 2024, after being shot. (Gene J. Puskar/AP) Right: White House Correspondents’ Dinner shooting suspect Cole Allen runs past the Washington Hilton ballroom security checkpoint. (The Justice Department)

Or is the theory that the shooting itself was real, but Trump paid a 20-year-old known for having poor aim with a rifle to shoot him in the ear at the exact moment he turned his head to look at a chart on immigration figures? If Trump hadn’t turned his head a split-second before the gunshot, he’d be a dead man. If 42% of Democrats think that’s what happened, I have a rainbow-colored bridge to sell them.

A similar percentage of Democrats denied the results of the 2024 election, despite a complete lack of evidence for their claims. After Trump beat Democrat Kamala Harris two years ago, a YouGov poll showed 45% of Democrats saying Harris was the legitimate winner of the election, while NBC reported 41% of Democrats believed the election results were illegitimate.

It appears left-wing election deniers have converted into assassination attempt deniers. Alex Jones was destroyed for entertaining conspiracy theories surrounding the Sandy Hook Elementary School shooting. Will mainstream Democrats receive the same condemnation for denying the mass shooting that took place in Pennsylvania, the attempted mass shooting in Washington, D.C., or the failed hit in Florida? Obviously not, because the media hold the Left and Right to two separate sets of rules.

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The reason mainstream Democrats believe these assassination attempts were staged is simple: Mainstream Democratic talking points claiming that Trump is a threat to democracy, a fascist, and a bigot have fueled the flames of left-wing political violence — and they don’t want to take accountability for inciting it. Case in point: Former President Barack Obama claimed that the WHCA dinner shooter’s motive was unknown, well after the suspect’s anti-Trump manifesto featuring standard left-wing talking points was made public.

If Trump calling for “peaceful and patriotic” protests counts as inciting the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol riot, then what should we call it when, to name one of many examples, former President Joe Biden says “it’s time to put Trump in the bullseye”? The Jan. 6 rioters disobeyed Trump’s order to remain peaceful, while several left-wing gunmen have put bullseyes on Trump since Biden made his comment. Only one of them was impeached for incitement. Again, two sets of rules.