MLB outlook, week of 5/2/2010

Published May 2, 2010 4:00am ET



PLAYER TO WATCH

Francisco Liriano, LHP, Minnesota Twins
A year ago, Liriano was a disastrous 5-13 and had most of baseball wondering if he ever would come all the way back after Tommy John surgery wiped away his 2007 season. But the 6-foot-2 left-hander has regained his dominance, closing April with a 23-inning scoreless streak and ending the month with a microscopic 0.93 ERA. Liriano, who burst onto the scene in 2006 as Minnesota’s successor to Johan Santana, gives the Twins their own a flamethrower to combat Justin Verlander, Zack Greinke and Fausto Carmona in the AL Central. Minnesota sorely lacked that element last season, when it won the division despite allowing the third-most hits in the American League.

STORYLINES

 1. Red-hot Robinson » Yankees second baseman Robinson Cano is a notoriously slow starter — by which we mean his .280 career batting average in April and May is 29 points below his lifetime mark. But Cano, who slumped badly in 2008 before rebounding last season, just finished the best April of his career, ending the month as the leading hitter in the American League. Industry experts have pointed to Cano as a future batting champion (though he’s a streaky hitter and plays in the same league as Joe Mauer and Ichiro, making that task difficult). Still, hitting fifth in a loaded New York lineup means Cano — who rarely strikes out and almost never walks — will see plenty of pitches to hit. His power numbers spiked last season with career highs in home runs (25), total bases (331) runs (103) and doubles (48). Cano torched the Orioles last week, going 8-for-13 with three home runs.

2. Second guessing » Guess we shouldn’t have buried the New York Mets so quickly. Gotham’s “other” baseball team started off 3-7 and looked like a decent bet to sink below the Nationals in the National League East — especially after last year’s disastrous season and its recent September collapses. Not so fast, though. Suddenly it looks like Johan Santana’s elbow is healthy and Mike Pelfrey has made the leap long expected of him as a 6-foot-7 right-hander. Even 23-year-old John Niese is off to a nice start. The addition of stud first-base prospect Ike Davis has energized the often cranky Mets fanbase, too. Get David Wright and Jason Bay going at the same time and New York might make a run at an N.L. East title yet.

SERIES TO WATCH
Cardinals at Phillies, May 3-6
St. Louis ended April with the best team ERA in baseball. Philadelphia has Roy Halladay. But pitchers beware when the Cardinals and Phillies get together for a mid-week series at the Citizens Bank bandbox. These teams ranked first and sixth, respectively, in the Senior Circuit last season in home runs, with Albert Pujols, Ryan Howard, Jayson Werth and Raul Ibanez all finishing in the National League’s top 10. Throw slugging Matt Holliday into the mix and this might turn into a four-day fireworks show.

The Examiner’s weekly power rankings
1. Rays » AL East in on notice. Tampa is a legit power
2. Cardinals » Albert Pujols well on his way to a $30-million contract
3. Yankees » Rotation looks good early. Will simply draft behind Rays
4. Twins » Make it 23 scoreless innings for now-healthy Francisco Liriano
5. Phillies » Star 1B Ryan Howard is rich. Big man deserves huge contract
6. Tigers » Trade with Yanks for Austin Jackson already paying off
7. Athletics » Losing young hurler Brett Anderson for two weeks a concern
8. Rockies » Already have five wins from ace Ubaldo Jimenez (0.79 ERA)
9. Blue Jays » Fast start, but already dipped below .500. Won’t change vs. AL East
10. Giants » Some competition for Tim Lincecum’s third straight Cy Young
11. Mariners » Franklin Gutierrez may soon be known for offense as well as defense
12. Angels » Not missing former ace John Lackey yet. Just give it time
13. Marlins » 2B Dan Uggla continues to pace Marlins offense
14. Mets » Look who’s fought back into NL East race after rough start
15. Red Sox » Expected defense from Adrian Beltre. Not bat at plate, either
16. Brewers » OF Ryan Braun is pounding pitchers all over National League
17. D-Backs » 2B Kelly Johnson a fine offseason free-agent pickup so far
18. Padres » This hot start can’t possibly last. Enjoy it, Padres fans
19. Braves » Not the way Bobby Cox imagined his last season
20. Nationals » D.C. has honest-to-goodness MLB team. Not a contender, but still
21. Dodgers » Something’s missing in Dodgertown as young starters falter
22. Rangers » Vladimir Guerrero hitting well in his new AL West digs.
23. Reds » RHP Mike Leake has made nice transition from college to pro ball
24. Indians » Former Nats OF Austin Kearns off to fine start in Cleveland
25. Cubs » Looks like Carlos Zambrano in ’pen for foreseeable future
26. Pirates » Entered the weekend outscored by 75 runs. Yet had 10 wins
27. White Sox » Took less than a month for Paul Konerko to reach double-digits HRs
28. Astros » Pitching’s been good. Offense is still beyond dreadful
29. Kansas City » Thought Nats’ bullpen was bad last year? Royals are worse
30. Orioles » A better week, but no way to recover from a 2-16 start