Looks like we finally found the tipping point for white evangelicals in Alabama, and his name rhymes with "Moy Roore."
According to exit polls and estimations by Lyman Stone in The Federalist, defeated Alabama Senate candidate Roy Moore severely underperformed with white evangelicals in the special election on Tuesday than previous Republican candidates.
Moore got 80 percent of the white evangelical vote, which accounted for 44 percent of all voters who cast ballots on Tuesday. To compare his election to another off-year Senate election where a candidate ran opposed, you'd have to go back to 2010 where current sitting Sen. Richard Shelby, R-Ala., got 10 percentage points more than Moore with evangelicals to win his race.
From Stone's research, more than 60 percent of white evangelical adults in Alabama did not vote for Moore. In fact, white evangelical turnout dropped roughly 30 points from 75 percent in the 2016 presidential election to about 45 percent in the 2017 Alabama special election.
Moore, who was famously removed from the Alabama Supreme Court twice, was, if anything, viewed as a man of God, and fought against the system for what he believed in. By refusing to remove the Ten Commandments statue and not recognizing the U.S. Supreme Court decision over same-sex marriage, you would think that Moore had the white evangelical vote in the bag.
In a large part, he did, but it still wasn't enough to win overall.
Regarding Moore's position on religious liberty, respect for the Constitution and the rule of law, questionable comments that appeared to romanticize slavery, or the sexual misconduct allegations made against him by nine women, any number of these reasons were enough to dissuade some white evangelical voters from showing up to the polls.
This is a sign that for some white evangelicals, morality and character still matter. Even if Moore represented a conservative vote in the Senate, confidence in President Trump's agenda is faltering, especially when people are realizing many of the people representing them in Washington are dirtbags who harass their staff.
In some respects, President Trump was right when he tweeted after the Alabama special election that "we need to put up GREAT Republican candidates to increase the razor thin margins in both the House and Senate."
Roy Moore was the worst candidate the Republican Party could have offered to the state of Alabama, and yet primary voters chose him. Now, Republicans and conservatives have to deal with the consequences by sending a Democrat in Doug Jones to Washington.
If the trend of putting forward bad pro-Trump candidates continues (i.e. Kelli Ward in Arizona), then expect that blue wave to sweep through the Senate and haunt President Trump throughout the rest of his time in office, however long that may be.