Mike Pompeo’s secret diplomacy opens door for potential breakthrough in North Korea talks

POMPEO, THE ICEBREAKER: That giant cracking sound you heard yesterday was the sound of the ice breaking between North Korea and the United States. “We’ve started talking to North Korea directly. We have had direct talks at very high levels — extremely high levels — with North Korea,” President Trump said yesterday during his Mar-a-Lago summit with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. “I really believe there’s a lot of goodwill,” Trump said. “A lot of good things are happening.”

When Trump said “extremely high levels” he wasn’t exaggerating. Turns out — as the Washington Post uncovered — CIA Director Mike Pompeo traveled to Pyongyang this month, and won a personal pledge from Kim Jong Un that North Korea is willing to negotiate giving up its nuclear arsenal. The covert mission sets the stage for Trump’s historic meeting with Kim, and notches a diplomatic coup for Pompeo, the man who will be secretary of state if he can just get a vote on the Senate floor.

TRUMP CONFIRMS: “Mike Pompeo met with Kim Jong Un in North Korea last week,” Trump tweeted this morning. “Meeting went very smoothly and a good relationship was formed. Details of Summit are being worked out now. Denuclearization will be a great thing for World, but also for North Korea!”

MAJOR DIPLOMATIC BREAKTHROUGH: Korea expert Harry Kazianis, with the Center for the National Interest, called Pompeo’s Pyongyang foray “a major diplomatic breakthrough, which could only have one purpose: Creating the conditions for successful talks that could lead to a deal that could transform America’s relationship with North Korea.” Kazianis, a former adviser to Sen. Ted Cruz, said, “While we have every reason to be skeptical — Pyongyang loves to break every deal it signs — we also have every reason to be more hopeful than ever that Kim may be willing to surrender his nuclear weapons and create the conditions for peace.”  

PEACE IN OUR TIME? While the U.S. prepares for Trump’s meeting with Kim on nuclear disarmament, South Korea’s President Moon Jae-in has another lofty goal. He wants to forge a peace treaty between the two nations, which technically remain in a state of war after an armistice — not a formal peace treaty — ended the Korean War in 1953. “South Korea is meeting, and has plans to meet, with North Korea to see if they can end the war,” Trump said yesterday. “And they have my blessing on that.”

MEETING IS ON, OR MAYBE NOT: While Trump was bubbling with optimism about the prospects for resolving the North Korea crisis on his terms, he also allowed that things could unravel before he gets a chance to meet with Kim. He said he expects the meeting to occur “in early June or a little before that, assuming things go well.” Then he quickly added, “It’s possible things won’t go well and we won’t have the meetings, and we’ll just continue to go along this very strong path that we’ve taken.” Trump said his team is reviewing “five locations” outside the United States where he and Kim could meet face-to-face for the first time.

“As I always say, we’ll see what happens. Because ultimately, it’s the end result that counts, not the fact that we’re thinking about having a meeting or having a meeting,” Trump said. “We’ll either have a very good meeting or we won’t have a good meeting. … But I think that there’s a great chance to solve a world problem. This is not a problem for the United States. It’s not a problem for Japan or any other country. It’s a problem for the world.”

THE SHIELD WILL HOLD: At his confirmation hearing to be the next head of U.S. Northern Command, Air Force Gen. Terrence O’Shaughnessy told senators that, like his predecessors, he believes U.S. ballistic missile defenses can shoot down anything North Korea is capable of sending our way. “I would say with high confidence that I believe that the Ground-based Midcourse Defense system in place today has the ability to defend against a North Korean ballistic missile strike,” O’Shaughnessy said. “If confirmed, I will leverage my 10-plus years of ballistic missile defense experience in a variety of roles, to include as deputy commander, U.S. Forces Korea, to ensure we can defend our nation.”

Good Wednesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre), National Security Writer Travis J. Tritten (@travis_tritten) and Senior Editor David Brown (@dave_brown24). Email us here for tips, suggestions, calendar items and anything else. If a friend sent this to you and you’d like to sign up, click here. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow us on Twitter @dailyondefense.

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HAPPENING TODAY: As the U.S. tries to smooth over the relations between two key Gulf allies — Saudi Arabia and Qatar — Defense Secretary Jim Mattis meets with Qatari Defense Minister Khalid Bin Mohammed Al-Attiyah at the Pentagon this afternoon.

MESSAGE FOR ASSAD: At the start of yesterday’s meeting with the Albanian defense minister, Mattis defended the size and scope of the 105 cruise missile attack on three suspected chemical weapons sites in Syria. Mattis said the U.S., Britain and France “did what we believed was right under international law,” adding “I hope that this time the Assad regime got the message.”

Mattis was responding to a reporter’s question about remarks Emmanuel Macron made to European Parliament Tuesday, in which the French president said, “These strikes don’t necessarily resolve anything, but I think they were important,” because they upheld “the honor of the international community.”

UNIMPRESSED BY MATTIS: In the afternoon, Mattis and Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Joseph Dunford made the trek to Capitol Hill to give lawmakers closed-door briefings on the Syria strike, an exercise that left many members unsatisfied and frustrated.

Rep. Thomas Massie complained the Congress was given no new information. “I hate to say this,” but “it felt to me that this briefing was perfunctory and that they were basically just engaged in rope-a-dope.” House Democrats were left fuming over Mattis’ explanation for why Trump had the right to conduct a military strike against Syria, and on the Senate side, reliable Republican critics Sens. Lindsey Graham and Bob Corker were decrying the lack of a long-term strategy.

Corker said after the classified briefing it’s clear Trump intends to withdraw U.S. forces from Syria as soon as possible following the defeat of the Islamic State. “I think the administration’s plans are to complete the efforts to defeat ISIS and to not be involved,” said the chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee. “Syria is Russia and Iran’s now. They will be determining the future. We may be at the table, but when you’re just talking and have nothing to do with shaping what’s happening on the ground, you’re just talking.”

“I am very unnerved by what I hear and what I see,” Graham said. “I think President Trump’s been a good commander in chief, but when it comes to Syria, I think he’s going down a very dangerous path.”

DOUBTING PAUL: When it comes to skepticism about the Syria mission, few lawmakers can match Sen. Rand Paul, who harbors deep doubts that Bashar Assad was behind the chemical attack in Douma. “I still look at the attack and say Assad must be the dumbest dictator on the planet or maybe he didn’t do it. I have yet to see evidence he did do it,” Rand told CNN yesterday. “The agency claims they have that evidence, but think about it, he’s been winning the war for the last couple years. The only thing that would galvanize the war to Assad directly is a chemical attack. It killed relatively few people compared to what could be killed with traditional bombs, traditional machine guns, traditional tanks, so you wonder what made them use chemical weapons.”

Paul also confirmed he will vote against confirming Pompeo as secretary of state and Gina Haspel as CIA director. “I think she’s a terrible representative,” he said of Haspel. “I will absolutely oppose her coming forward and her nomination.”

ISIS ISN’T DEFEATED: The Pentagon admitted yesterday that in the fog of Syria’s civil war, few people noticed that the Islamic State has regained ground in Syria. Not in the areas where the U.S. is working with partner forces, but in areas around Damascus where the Assad regime is supposedly in control. “In the pro-regime areas west of the Euphrates River we have seen a resurgence, or rather some ISIS elements coming back and attacking with success pro-regime forces,” said Col. Ryan Dillon, chief U.S. military spokesman, in a video briefing from Baghdad.

Dillon explained why this month the U.S. stopped touting that 98 percent of territory once held by ISIS had been liberated. With its gains in the west, where the U.S. is not operating, the liberated territory has shrunk to just over 90 percent.

THORNBERRY FLOATS BIG DoD CUTS: After a windfall of military spending, Rep. Mac Thornberry wants to start cutting deep into the fat of the Pentagon budget. The House Armed Services chairman is proposing legislation that imposes a 25 percent across-the-board spending reduction for the Pentagon’s sprawling system of support agencies and activities by 2021. “We’ve got to speed up decision-making here and have accountability. If you’ve got 20 agencies that are providing input who do you hold accountable for the results?” Thornberry told reporters on Tuesday. The Pentagon’s so-called Fourth Estate comprises 28 different entities and about $100 billion in annual funding. His legislation could shave as much as $25 billion, though committee staff cautioned that figure could change or be smaller.

The Fourth Estate support spending has ballooned in recent years and Thornberry said it is slowing the Pentagon with bureaucratic bloat. “There are 60 chief information officers at the SES level,” he said. “Is it any wonder we have a challenge in getting our IT act together or that we have a challenge in conducting an audit and having databases talk to each other, etc. It’s just unbelievable to me.” Under the legislation, Pentagon Chief Management Officer Jay Gibson would be in charge of managing the reforms. “If the CMO comes and tells me, ‘I can’t do that, it’s unrealistic, it needs to be 17 percent,’ you know, that’s why I put a number out there,” Thornberry said.

AGENCIES GET THE AX: House Armed Services holds a hearing on the Fourth Estate today. Thornberry introduced the legislation just before the committee begins marking up of the National Defense Authorization Act so it could be added to the annual policy bill. That means the mandated 25 percent in cuts could become law late this year when the NDAA is typically passed. Some intelligence and combat support operations would be shielded, but Thornberry also wants to completely eliminate seven agencies in the Pentagon. Here is what would get the ax:

  • Defense Information Systems Agency
  • Defense Technical Information Center
  • Defense Test Resource Management Center
  • Washington Headquarters Service
  • Defense Technology Security Administration
  • DOD Human Resources Activity
  • Office of Economic Adjustment

AUMF HEARING: Senate lawmakers might hold a public hearing on new legislation outlining the president’s war-making authority against terrorist groups, following a Tuesday discussion in the Foreign Relations Committee. “Let me see if I can get an administration official up here on Wednesday and we’ll see what we can do,” Corker said yesterday morning.

HERO PILOT: Tammie Jo Shults, the pilot at the made an emergency landing of the Southwest flight yesterday that suffered a blown engine, was one of the Navy’s first female fighter pilots, the Associated Press reports.

NEW MISSILE FOR THE F-35: Raytheon and the Navy are in the final stages of integrating the Joint Stand-Off Weapon C on the F-35C, which is the carrier variant of the tri-service fighter, according to a Raytheon release. Full deployment is expected next year.

“With JSOW C in its internal weapons bay, the Navy’s F-35C can now eliminate the toughest ground targets from significant standoff ranges,” said Mike Jarrett, vice president of Raytheon Air Warfare Systems. “JSOW’s advanced warhead and smart fuse provide fighter pilots with plenty of flexibility against hard and soft targets — plus, it has many programmable effects.”

NOT QUITE 4,000: The Pentagon authorized funding through October for up to 4,000 National Guard troops to be called up by four state governors to assist in border security. As of yesterday, there were 965 National Guard troops deployed near the U.S.-Mexico border, according to testimony from Air Force Gen. Joseph Lengyel, the chief of the National Guard Bureau.

Lengyel told a Senate appropriations subcommittee the troops are involved in “primarily things that enable Customs and Border Protection agents to leave nondirect border security jobs and go to the border and provide border security, and doing things like maintenance, communications, transportation, the operation of perhaps heavy equipment, analysis, trend analysis, and using some intelligence and surveillance and some aviation assets to assist in those endeavors.

“What they are not doing is any direct civilian law enforcement operations, and they are not doing any direct contact with migrants unless … explicitly authorized by the Department of Defense, and that has not yet occurred.”

TRUMP ON CALIFORNIA: The president this morning addressed the disagreement between the administration and California Gov. Jerry Brown, who has balked at using the Guard money for border security. “There is a Revolution going on in California. Soooo many Sanctuary areas want OUT of this ridiculous, crime infested & breeding concept. Jerry Brown is trying to back out of the National Guard at the Border, but the people of the State are not happy. Want Security & Safety NOW!”

THE RUNDOWN

Daily Beast: Trump Reaches Deal to Send Detained U.S. Citizen Abroad, Gov’t Says

Reuters: U.S., Syria give conflicting accounts on global chemical weapons experts

Military Times: Trump’s new drone, defense export rules expected this week

Defense One: The Corker-Kaine Bill Would Codify, not End, the Forever War

USNI News: Lawmakers Press NORTHCOM, PACOM Nominees on Strategies for Handling China

AFP: Former IS prison sees football revival in Syria’s Raqa

Foreign Policy: Senators Demand Answers From Trump Team on Yemen

Air Force Times: The 101st Airborne Division is back in Afghanistan

New York Times: Skripal Attack Used ‘Very Small Amount’ of Liquid Poison, U.K. Says

Politico: Coast Guard won’t ban transgender members unless compelled

Defense News: What birds cause the most damage to U.S. Air Force assets?

Business Insider: Russia is desperately trying to save its only aircraft carrier — that’s outdated and plagued with problems

Army Times: Price tag for new National Guard border operations still unknown, 4-star says

Breaking Defense: Rep. Bacon Offers Electronic Warfare Bill: ‘We’re Behind’

Calendar

WEDNESDAY | APRIL 18

10 a.m. Rayburn 2118. Full Committee Hearing on Oversight and Reform of the Department of Defense “4th Estate.” armedservices.house.gov

10 a.m. Rayburn 2172. Hearing on the U.S. Policy Toward a Turbulent Middle East. foreignaffairs.house.gov

11 a.m. 214 Massachusetts Ave. NE. The Future of U.S.-Romania Missile Defense Cooperation with Romania Ambassador George Cristian Maior. heritage.org

2 p.m. Rayburn 2212. Subcommittee Hearing on the Fiscal Year 2019 Budget for Energy, Installations and Environment with Lucian Niemeyer, Assistant Secretary of Defense; Jordan Gillis, Acting Assistant Secretary of the Army; Phyllis Bayer; Assistant Secretary of the Navy; and John Henderson, Assistant Secretary of the Air Force. armedservices.house.gov

2 p.m. Rayburn 2200. Subcommittee Hearing on the Dayton Legacy and the Future of Bosnia and the Western Balkans. foreignaffairs.house.gov

2 p.m. Rayburn 2172. Subcommittee Hearing on Libya Fractured: The Struggle for Unity. foreignaffairs.house.gov

2:30 p.m. Russell 232-A. Subcommittee Hearing on Accelerating New Technologies to Meet Emerging Threats with Michael Griffin, Under Secretary Of Defense For Research And Engineering. armed-services.senate.gov

3 p.m. Rayburn 2118. Subcommittee Hearing on the Ground Force Modernization Budget for 2019 with Lt. Gen. Paul Ostrowski, Military Deputy to the Assistant Secretary of the Army; Lt. Gen. John Murray, Deputy Chief of Staff; Lt. Gen. Robert Walsh, Commanding General of Marine Corps Combat Development Command; and Brig. Gen. Joe Shrader, Commanding General of Marine Corps Systems Command. armedservices.house.gov

3:30 p.m. Russell 222. Hearing on Air Force Modernization with Lt. Gen. Arnold Bunch, Military Deputy for Acquisition; Lt. Gen. Jerry Harris, Deputy Chief Of Staff For Strategic Plans And Requirements; and Brig. Gen. Brian Robinson, Assistant Deputy Chief Of Staff. armed-services.senate.gov

6 p.m. 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW. Where the Wind Blew: Film Screening and Discussion. carnegieendowment.org

6:30 p.m. 1250 South Hayes St. Dwight D. Eisenhower Award Dinner. ndia.org

THURSDAY | APRIL 19

7 a.m. 2425 Wilson Blvd. Institute of Land Warfare Breakfast Series with Lt. Gen Charles Luckey, Chief of the Army Reserve. ausa.org

9:30 a.m. Dirksen G-50. Hearing on the Posture of the Department of the Navy with Secretary Richard Spencer; Adm. John Richardson, Chief Of Naval Operations; and Gen. Robert Neller, Commandant of the Marine Corps. armed-services.senate.gov

10 a.m.  Rayburn 2118. Subcommittee Hearing on Army Fiscal Year 2019 Budget Request Readiness Posture with Lt. Gen. Joseph Anderson, Deputy Chief of Staff; Lt. Gen. Timothy Kadavy, Director of the Army National Guard; Lt. Gen. Charles Luckey, Chief of the Army Reserve; and Lt. Gen. Aundre Piggee, Deputy Chief of Staff. armedservices.house.gov

10:30 a.m. Rayburn 2212. Subcommittee Hearing on Military Health System Reform: Pain Management, Opioids Prescription Management and Reporting Transparency with Vice Adm. Raquel Bono, Director of the Defense Health Agency, and Capt. Mike Colston, Director of Mental Health Policy and Oversight. armedservices.house.gov

10:30 a.m. Dirksen 106. Capitol Hill Briefing: U.S. National Security and the Travel Ban with Chuck Hagel, Former Secretary of Defense, and Gen. Michael Hayden, Former Director of the CIA and the NSA.

2 p.m. 2301 Constitution Ave. NW. SIGAR launches a new report on private sector development in Afghanistan. usip.org

5:30 p.m.  1030 15th St. NW. Dialogue on Combating Religious Extremism and Terror with Sri Sri Ravi Shankar. atlanticcouncil.org

FRIDAY | APRIL 20

6 a.m. 44050 Woodridge Parkway. Washington, D.C. Chapter “Swing for Freedom” Invitation for Golf Outing benefiting USO-Metro. ndia.org

8 a.m. 300 First St. SE. Extended Nuclear Deterrence and Missile Defense Challenges in NATO and Asia-Pacific. mitchellaerospacepower.org

10 a.m. 1789 Massachusetts Ave. NW. From Spark Tank to think tank: A conversation with Secretary of the Air Force Heather Wilson. aei.org

12 noon. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. China’s Growing Influence in the Indian Ocean: Implications for the U.S. and Its Regional Allies. hudson.org

MONDAY | APRIL 23

11 a.m. 529 14th St. NW. Washington’s Shifting Syria Policy: Implications for U.S.-Turkey Relations. press.org

12 noon. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Reconstructing Iraq: Ideas from Civil Society and the Private Sector. hudson.org

12:15 p.m. 740 15th St. NW. ISIS in North Africa: Past and Future Trajectories. newamerica.org

6 p.m. 1777 F St. NW. Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif on U.S.-Iran Relations. cfr.org

TUESDAY | APRIL 24

7 a.m. 2425 Wilson Blvd. AUSA Hot Topic Series: Army Contracts with Bruce Jette, Assistant Secretary of the Army for Acquisition, Logistics and Technology. ausa.org

8 a.m. 2401 M St. NW. Defense Writers Group Breakfast with Deputy Secretary of Defense Pat Shanahan.

8 a.m. 300 First St. SE. Strategic Deterrence Breakfast Series: The Nuclear and Missile Defense Dimension. mitchellaerospacepower.org

9 a.m. Cryptocurrencies and Sanctions Breakfast (invitation only). defenddemocracy.org

9:30 a.m. Dirksen G-50. Hearing on the Posture of the Department of the Air Force with Secretary Heather Wilson and Gen. David Goldfein, Chief Of Staff. armed-services.senate.gov

10 a.m. Dirksen 342. Hearing on Mitigating America’s Cybersecurity Risk. hsgac.senate.gov

10 a.m. Dirksen 419. Nominations Hearing with Adm. Harry Harris, to be the Ambassador to Australia. foreign.senate.gov

10 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. Putin’s New Strategic Systems: Plans, Realities, and Prospects. csis.org

12 noon. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. NATO’s Cyber Defense Strategy Ahead of the 2018 Brussels Summit. hudson.org

12 noon. Hart 216. Responding to Russia. defensepriorities.org

5:30 p.m. 1177 15th St. NW. Book Launch Event: “Army of None: Autonomous Weapons and the Future of War” by Paul Scharre. cnas.org

5:30 p.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. Schieffer Series: China and North Korea – What’s Next? csis.org

5:30 p.m. 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW. The Battle for the New Libya. carnegieendowment.org

WEDNESDAY | APRIL 25

9 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. Global Fragmentation in Cyber Policy. csis.org

11:30 a.m. 1667 K St. NW. Human-Machine Teaming for Future Ground Forces. csbaonline.org

12 noon. 1030 15th St. NW. Iraq’s Upcoming Elections: Likely Outcomes and Impact on US-Iraqi Relations. atlanticcouncil.org

1:30 p.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. New Year, New Strategy: Shifting Policies on North Korea in 2018. wilsoncenter.org

2:30 p.m. 2301 Constitution Ave. NW. Afghanistan in 2020: Is Peace Possible? usip.org

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QUOTE OF THE DAY
“I think that there’s a great chance to solve a world problem. This is not a problem for the United States. It’s not a problem for Japan or any other country. It’s a problem for the world.”
President Trump, after revealing the U.S. has been in high-level talks with North Korea, ahead of his planned meeting with Kim Jong Un.

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