Hours after Arizona Republican Sen. Jeff Flake announced his retirement due to his distaste for Washington and President Trump, a national pollster sent out a short note that told another story: He probably would have lost reelection anyway.

Morning Consult emailed reporters that Flake has the support of just 30 percent of Arizona voters, and 37 percent of Arizona Republicans.

"Jeff Flake's Approval Rating Among AZ Voters," was the email headline, followed by this:

Good afternoon,

In light of Senator Jeff Flake's announcement he will retire, I wanted to quickly flag for you his current approval numbers among Arizona voters, according to Morning Consult data.

  • Overall, 30% of AZ voters approve of Flake, and 53% disapprove
  • Among Democrats: 28% approve and 60% disapprove
  • Among Republicans: 37% approve and 50% disapprove.

This data is based on 1,603 interviews with registered Arizona voters, taken from Sept. 24 - Oct. 24, with a margin of error of +/- 2%. Morning Consult surveys voters on every U.S. senator and governor across the country on a daily basis.

Today, on MSNBC, Flake said that he wouldn't win because he wouldn't "cozy up to the president and his positions or his behavior…"

Paul Bedard, the Washington Examiner's "Washington Secrets" columnist, can be contacted at pbedard@washingtonexaminer.com