With Donald Trump on the GOP ticket, an additional 11 states will vote Democratic in November, according to findings from the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.
“This has been an exceedingly unpredictable year,” the political experts wrote in their analysis detailing the shift of 11 states on their Electoral College prediction scorecard.
The analyst added, “Although we remain convinced that Hillary Clinton is very vulnerable and would probably lose to most other Republicans, Donald Trump’s historic unpopularity with wide swaths of the electorate – women, millenials, independents and Latinos – make him the initial November underdog.”
The report also concluded that undecided voters, a crucial group that will likely sway the outcome of the election, are “more hostile to Trump than Clinton.”
According to the report in 2016 the Democrats will definitely win 16 states, likely win another three and then an additional three states will lean Democratic. The GOP will definitely win 19 states, likely win another two and then an additional two states will lean Republican. Iowa, Nebraska, New Hampshire, North Carolina and Ohio remain toss-ups.
Based on these predictions Clinton would blow Trump out of the water in a general election, beating him 304-190 electoral votes, not including the 44 electoral votes in the “toss up” states.
The report’s findings are based on of publicly available polling data, demographic changes as well as “private discussion with a large number of pollsters in both parties.”
