The Shrinking Superpower

A salient point, from Robert Kaplan:

Afghanistan is only the most obvious potential casualty of the recession. Also at stake are the expensive weapons programs and air and sea platforms that allow the United States to sustain its position as a global military hegemon. Regardless of what happens on the ground in Iraq and Afghanistan, the U.S. dominates the air and the main sea lines of communication (SLOCs). Ultimately, it is this fact that makes this country the preeminent global power that it is, and gives our diplomacy the heft it requires to sit at the front of the table at critical gatherings around the world. Yet maintaining that position doesn’t just cost money, it costs lots and lots of money–billions, not millions.

This is the story of the British Empire. As the Royal Navy shrunk — and globalization slowly offset the Anglo technological advantages in commerce and weaponry — the British ceded control of oceanic trade lanes. With this slow bleed of military and economic power post WWII (but mostly post-Suez), the British lost in a scant few decades what had previously taken three centuries to build. England’s power was derived from vast territorial conquest supported by a strong military. America’s power is derived from vast economic conquest supported by an even stronger military. Confidence in ourselves -and the will to support it with a powerful Armed Forces — is what sustains American prosperity, not social welfare and green initiatives.

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