Joe Biden has a comfortable lead on President Trump in Nevada, according to a rare poll of the swing state’s likely voters.
Biden, the 2020 Democratic presidential nominee, is ahead of the incumbent by 5 percentage points, 44% to 39%, according to a University of Nevada, Las Vegas survey published Tuesday. Another 5% of respondents said they intended to support a different candidate, while 12% were undecided less than 70 days before the Nov. 3 election.
The University of Nevada, Las Vegas poll revealed similar age, gender, race, and party affiliation voting preferences as other studies, with Biden dominating among younger voters, seniors, women, minority voters, and liberals. Yet it also bucked educational trends, finding Trump was performing well with voters with a post-graduate degree, beating Biden 54% to 31%.
The only other poll fielded in Nevada this election cycle was conducted by Democratic firm ALG Research in May. ALG Research pollsters found Biden was in front by 4 points, 49% to 45%.
Democrats have swept Nevada’s 10 electoral votes since former President Barack Obama won the state by 12.5 points in 2008. Their margins of victory, though, have shrunk with every quadrennial contest since then. Trump, for instance, lost to 2016 Democratic standard-bearer Hillary Clinton by 2.4 points.
The University of Nevada, Las Vegas poll was based on Qualtrics data of 682 self-identified likely Nevada voters gathered from Aug. 20-30. The university’s results have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 points.
