Cohen: Perceived Weakness on National Security Could Hurt Dems

The Washington Post’s Richard Cohen makes a point that has been brought up several times here–that the Democratic presidential candidate might suffer in 2008 from a perceived weakness on defense:

The history I have in mind is 1972. By the end of that year, 56,844 Americans had been killed in Vietnam, a war that almost no one thought could still be won and that no one could quite figure out how to end. Nevertheless, the winner in that year’s presidential election was Richard M. Nixon. He won 49 of 50 states–and the war, of course, went on. Just as it is hard to understand how the British ousted Winston Churchill after he had led them to victory in Europe in World War II, so it may be hard now to appreciate how Nixon won such a landslide while presiding over such a dismal war… This is where history raises its ugly head. The GOP is adept at painting Democrats as soft on national security. It is equally adept at saying so in the most scurrilous way. And while most Americans would like the war to end, they do not favor a precipitous withdrawal and neither have they forgotten Sept. 11, 2001 — the entirety of Giuliani’s case for the presidency, after all. Will history trump the polls? It will if, as in the past, the Democratic Party so wounds itself fighting the war against the war, it nominates a candidate beloved by a minority but mistrusted by a majority. It has happened before.

Cohen notes some significant distinctions between then and now. In particular, he points out that the Vietnam War had more public support in 1972 than the Iraq conflict does now. He also repeats the liberal trope that the Swift Boat criticisms of Kerry were unfair (though they were demonstrably true). Last and perhaps most importantly, he seems to believe that the mere fact of having served in the military should exempt Democratic veterans from having to defend their records, as well as their views about current and future conflicts. (I am unaware that Cohen has argued that similar protection should be extended to leaders such as Senator McCain.) These points aside, Cohen is right. In their race to repudiate the Iraq war and similar conflicts, Democrats are in serious danger of losing their credibility on similar and related threats. Consider the case of Iran. U.S. and foreign intelligence agencies believe that Iran continues to strive to produce nuclear weapons, which would constitute a serious threat to U.S. interests and allies. How will the American public react to a the nominee of a party whose base is demanding (and whose candidates are promising) no military action in the face of such a threat?

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