Don’t count Woods out in return

Former, current pros believe Tiger can win

Can Tiger Woods win?

Ask this under normal circumstances and the response is likely a sarcastic return question, one concerning the Pope’s religion or the habits of a bear in the woods.

But this week at the Masters, after nearly five months of self-imposed exile from competitive golf, the question is finally compelling. Can Tiger Woods win?

“Nothing’s changed. Going to go out there and try to win this thing,” Woods said with a smile at his news conference Monday.

UP NEXTThe MastersWhat » Opening roundWhere » Augusta NationalWhen » ThursdayTV » ESPNFIVE TO WATCHErnie Els » With wins two of the last three weeks, Els arrives at Augusta hotter than any player on tour. Has never won here, but the course suits his game. Was in top six for five straight years (2000-04) with a pair of runner-up finishes.Phil Mickelson » With wins here in 2004 and 2006, this is Lefty’s favorite major venue. But this is the first time since 2003 that Mickelson comes to Augusta without a victory, although that year he finished third behind Mike Weir. Anthony Kim » Won last week at Houston despite missing more than half the fairways. That speaks to the brilliance of his short game, a necessary component at Augusta. The 24-year-old has played the Masters just once, a tie for 20th last year.Steve Stricker » A major championship would be a just desert for the No. 2 player in the world rankings. After ranking first on the tour last year in putting, Stricker has the stroke to win at Augusta. His best finish (tie for sixth) came last year.Lee Westwood » Is it finally time for the 36-year-old, who is ranked No. 4 in the world? Tied for third in the last two majors in 2009. Has 20 victories on the European Tour but has not won in the United States since 1998. Best Masters was a tie for sixth in 1999.

As Woods seeks his 15th major championship in pursuit of Jack Nicklaus’ record of 18, it’s instructive to review what Woods accomplished in 2008.

After finishing as the runner-up to Trevor Immelman at Augusta, Woods underwent minor knee surgery that kept him off the course for two months. But when he returned, Woods had perhaps his greatest win. Playing on a broken leg and a torn ACL, Woods limped to a playoff win over Rocco Mediate in the U.S. Open.

In that instance, Woods showed he could overcome a long layoff brought on by physical problems.

This time, however, the circumstances of Woods’ layoff are different. How will he rebound following the emotional wringer he has been through since his SUV accident Thanksgiving night triggered revelations of more than a dozen extramarital affairs?

Will the emotional toll be similar to that he experienced in 2006 after the death of his beloved father, Earl? After a two-month layoff, Woods missed the cut at the U.S. Open. The last time that had happened to Woods at a major championship was when he was a 20-year-old amateur.

“When my dad passed, coming back and playing was a lot more difficult than I thought,” Woods told reporters, comparing his 2006 layoff with his time off in 2008. “All the things I had to go through and my preparation for tournaments my dad taught me. Overcoming and getting out and playing and practicing, I didn’t want to do that because I’d always think about dad.”

On Monday, Woods asked reporters to refrain from asking other players about him. But the following day at Augusta, Woods was the main topic of conversation. Former U.S. Open winner Geoff Ogilvy has little doubt Woods can rebound and win this week.

“We’ve spent 15 years underestimating what he can do,” Ogilvy said. “I have 100 percent confidence in his ability to win the tournament. Not saying he’s going to, but I think he can.”

Jack Nicklaus scoffed at the notion that Woods couldn’t win, saying that he won after taking longer breaks. But in those days, before golf’s money-making “silly season,” the sport was an eight-month proposition. All the players took a long break.

The man most in touch with the state of Woods’ game is swing coach Hank Haney, but he has little idea how Woods will fare this week.

“I don’t know what to expect, and I don’t think anybody else does,” Haney told the Golf Channel on Wednesday. “We’ll have to see.”

According to Haney, Woods has shown progress each day this week at Augusta. Practice partner Fred Couples suggested Woods had a rough time Monday.

“Mentally I think he’s right there,” Couples said. “But his game, it’s a Monday practice round. I’d say he wasn’t sharp, but who would be? He hasn’t played a tournament in six or seven months. But I have a funny feeling on Thursday he’ll be there.”

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