Seoul would survive a North Korean attack; North Korea would not

By Tom Rogan

Published September 26, 2017 1:33pm ET

Seoul would survive a North Korean attack; North Korea would not — Protesters demand the deployment of nuclear weapons in South Korea, near the presidential Blue House in Seoul, South Korea, Tuesday, Sept. 5, 2017. South Korean warships have conducted live-fire exercises at sea. The drills Tuesday mark the second-straight day of military swagger from a nation still rattled by the North's biggest-ever nuclear test. The signs read "The government should to deploy nuclear weapons." (AP Photo/Ahn Young-joon) | Ahn Young-joon

It is a common and generally unchallenged refrain that Seoul, capital of South Korea, is unacceptably vulnerable to North Korean artillery fire.

This thinking assumes that if North Korea attacked Seoul with artillery and missiles, it would inflict hundreds of thousands of casualties. But that isn’t a given.

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Seoul would survive a North Korean attack; North Korea would not

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