It looks like Sen. Claire McCaskill, D-Mo., and Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley have seven months to fight over 11 percent of the electorate.
A Mason-Dixon Poll conducted April 4-6 among 625 registered voters found McCaskill and Hawley are in a dead heat, 45 to 44 percent, according to the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Eleven percent of respondents said they were undecided, and the margin of error was plus or minus 4 percentage points. “Independent voters,” the pollsters said, “are equally divided between the two candidates.”
McCaskill came in just below Trump’s favorability rating, with 41 percent favorable versus 39 percent unfavorable, to the president’s 44-38. Hawley, who technically still has to win the GOP primary in August, was unknown to about one in six voters, while one in five were neutral on McCaskill.
“This is typically not a good position for an incumbent whose support base is five points below 50 percent,” the pollsters explained.
Though her fundraising numbers have been impressive, McCaskill is still widely considered to be one of the most-vulnerable upper-chamber incumbents on the ballot this November.

