In my Washington Examiner column last wee, I pondered the question of whether Donald Trump could disrupt the general election as he did the Republican primaries. National polls have pretty consistently shown Trump trailing Hillary Clinton, by an average of 47-41 percent most recently. Polls in 2012 target states have also shown him trailing her on average.

These results are cast in some doubt by the just released Quinnipiac polls in Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio, states which together have 67 electoral votes. All were carried by Barack Obama in 2012; without them, he would have had only 265 electoral votes and Mitt Romney would have been elected president. Quinnipiac shows even races in Florida and Pennsylvania, with Clinton “ahead” 43-42 percent in both states, and a narrow lead, 43-39 percent, for Trump in Ohio.