Eric Cantor, Tom Daschle, Tom Foley — and almost Mitch McConnell and Harry Reid.
Party leaders regularly lose re-election or face very tough challengers in the primary or general election. And maybe that’s not a coincidence. Maybe voters don’t like the feeling that representing them is a congressman’s second job.
House majority leader is a full-time job, especially when the majority one is leading is famously divided and independent-minded. Throw in ambitions to be speaker, and being titular head of a mini-think tank, and Eric Cantor was very, very busy. Good for him.
Let Cantor constituent Robert Tracinski explain at the Federalist why some people back home didn’t love this.
This may sound backwards to some people inside the Beltway. Isn’t it supposed to be a good thing when your congressman has above-average power in Washington? Shouldn’t your district’s added “clout” outweigh the costs of your representative having less time to care about you?
Here’s the thing: “clout” is often a euphemism for earmarks and pork. And Washington sometimes overestimates how easily voters can be bought off by federal largesse.
Particular to Cantor’s situation (and to some extent, Thad Cochran‘s plight), “clout,” is not all that valuable for Republicans these days. Using government as a dispenser of favors is out of fashion on the Right these days. It’s cronyism.
And if you’re busy with other jobs on Capitol Hill, how are you supposed to pay attention back home? Historically, you did it with earmarks!
Tracinski has a priceless story on this:
Republicans don’t do that anymore. They banned earmarks in 2010. So Eric Cantor ends up too busy to shake hands back home, and the GOP ends up too pure for Cantor to send pork back home. Suddenly, Virginia’s 7th District feels abandoned. So he lost their affection.
A related phenomenon could be the difficulty faced by lawmakers seeking re-election following a presidential run: Bob Smith’s primary defeat in 2002, Chris Dodd’s horrible poll numbers in 2010, Joe Lieberman’s primary loss in 2006, to name a few.
Congressmen: Voters are your bosses. Make them believe you see them that way, or you can get fired.