A poll released on Monday from the Public Religion Research Institute shows Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden 18 percentage points ahead of President Trump among likely voters.

When PRRI modeled its data based on the assumption that voter turnout would be higher than in 2016, at 70% turnout versus roughly 55% four years ago, 51% of respondents said they would vote for Biden, and 38% said they would vote for Trump. Respondents who said they would vote for someone else or were unsure were also asked, “If you had to choose between these two candidates, who do you lean toward?” In response, 3% of the total number of respondents for that model said they would lean toward Biden, and 2% said they would lean toward Trump. The margin of error for this data set was plus or minus 4.8 percentage points.