Exit Polls: The Good, the Bad, and the Totally Speculative

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NOTE: If you haven’t voted, go vote. These numbers should not discourage anyone, as they have a history of being totally wrong. Please see the handy-dandy, “10 Reasons You Should Ignore Exit Polls” while I begin to obsess over them. Gawker had the first exit poll numbers, reporting rather small margins for Obama- up 4 in PA, up 2 in VA, up 1 in FL and OH. McCain showed a lead in NC of 2. If true, sounds like decent news, considering Obama supporters are much more likely to respond to exit pollers. MyDD reports exit poll numbers, allegedly from inside sources, that show devastating data for McCain, pretty much everywhere. But, Obama takes VA by 10? Color me even more skeptical of that than other exit polls. More from Gawker, with data on issues (economy leads nationally), and broken down by state. Jim Geraghty reports from McCain camp sources:

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