Energy Conservation: the Marxist Way

The Financial Times reports that a DC-based consulting firm called PFC energy has released a report warning of a reduced oil supply in years to come. The twist is that PFC isn’t concerned (for now anyway) with a lack of petroleum reserves, but with decisions by governments to nationalize and limit investment in the energy sector:

Resource nationalism, which is limiting access for international oil companies, and the national oil companies’ failure to reinvest profits in production, are limiting outlay required to replace existing resources, which are being substantially depleted.

Robin West, chairman of PFC Energy said: “The concern is not that the world is running out of oil, but rather it is running out of oil production capacity.”

Before 1961 the industry could invest almost anywhere except the Soviet Union and Mexico. Then it was pushed out of the Middle East and Venezuela. Investment by international companies shifted to the North Sea, north slope of Alaska and offshore. But the North Sea and Alaska are maturing even as output in key producers is declining.

Mr West said: “Should demand outstrip supply, you will have a run-up in prices, massive demand destruction and substitutions. It will create tremendous pressures in the international petroleum system, the international economic system, the international political system.”

Read the whole thing. It’s both interesting and worrying. State-owned energy companies underspend on exploration and new production; they siphon profits into state coffers, or are used as employment programs. (I’ve written about Pemex before–here, for example. ) Now we see that the proliferation of state ownership threatens not just a nation’s economic vitality and energy future, but potentially the world’s as well. If looking at the list of the world’s major oil exporters didn’t convince you of the need to treat energy as a national security issue (the top dozen exporters include Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iran, Nigeria, Venezuela, Libya, and Iraq), then stories like this one will. It’s probably impossible for this country to eliminate it reliance on imported oil for the foreseeable future, but it’s critical that we look seriously at a broad range of policy options to reduce our dependence.

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