A new national survey shows Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump statistically tied.
Clinton leads Trump by 1 percentage point, 44-43, among likely voters in a head-to-head matchup polled by Investors Business Daily. The Democratic nominee is tied with Trump, 39-39, in a four-way race that includes Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein. Johnson earned 12 percentage points in the poll, and Stein picked up 3 points.
Last month, Clinton led Trump by 7 percentage points, 46-39, among registered voters — not likely voters — in an IBD survey.
“We also see a significant spike in enthusiasm among Republicans — the ‘silent majority’ is turning into a ‘vocal majority,'” said Raghavan Mayur, president of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence that directed the poll, to IBD. “Republicans’ interest level at 88 percent is significantly higher than Democrats’ at 80 percent.”
Whether IBD’s poll proves to be an outlier or an indication that the race is tightening is unclear. Recent polling of a two-way race between Clinton and Trump compiled by Real Clear Politics appears to give Clinton a slightly larger edge than IBD. Similarly, while IBD shows Clinton and Trump tied in a four-way race, most other recent polls show Clinton ahead by a narrow margin.
The Investor’s Business Daily poll surveyed 934 respondents, including 887 registered voters and 861 likely voters from August 26 through September 1. The margin-of-error for both samples — the registered voters and likely voters — is 3.4 percentage points.
