The Democratic Party’s prospects are looking good in the special election to take the Georgia congressional seat vacated by Republican Tom Price when he became Health and Human Services secretary.
According to early voting numbers among in-person and absentee voters, Democrats have nearly double the vote tally than that of Republicans after five days of casting ballots, says Michael McDonald, an associate professor in the University of Florida’s Department of Political Science. He notes that Nate Cohn has slightly different numbers.
#GA06 early voting (absentee and in-person) during the week ending 3/31 (note the highest value in a plot is fixed relative to others) pic.twitter.com/Ww1vFN9noU
— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) April 1, 2017
I’ve got:
Dem 3591
Rep 1880
None 2639@Nate_Cohn has different numbers— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) April 1, 2017
At the forefront of the Democratic Party’s campaign to take the Atlanta suburb district is Jon Ossoff, a former aide to Rep. Hank Johnson. Not only does he have the support of local Democratic leaders, but also has actress Alyssa Milano campaigning for him.
No joke. Call 678-636-9551 and @Alyssa_Milano and I WILL PICK YOU UP and take you to early vote! Now. @ossoff #Georgia6th pic.twitter.com/HA3nGuirQr
— Christopher Gorham (@ChrisGorham) March 27, 2017
The day of the special election is scheduled for April 18. If no candidate is able to reach a 50 percent threshold, then the top two candidates will participate in a runoff on June 20.
McDonald is far from calling the election for Ossof. He said in a tweet Saturday that Ossof’s chances are “between 0% and 100% – i.e., we really don’t know meaning of these numbers.”
I estimate Ossoff’s chances of winning the seat somewhere between 0% and 100% – i.e., we really don’t know meaning of these numbers
— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) April 1, 2017
