Beltway Confidential

The polls are wrong. Here’s how

By Timothy P. Carney

Published January 3, 2012 5:00am ET

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The polls are wrong. Here’s how — Polls measure how people respond to questions asked them over the phone. Caucus results will be different, for many reasons. Some candidates will do better than their poll numbers. Some will do worse. We can’t know in advance, but we can make educated guesses. Here’s my prediction: Overperformers: Santorum: Santorum is the pre-eminent anti-Romney at […]

Polls measure how people respond to questions asked them over the phone. Caucus results will be different, for many reasons. Some candidates will do better than their poll numbers. Some will do worse. We can’t know in advance, but we can make educated guesses. Here’s my prediction:

Overperformers:

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Timothy P. Carney