PHILADELPHIA — Axiom Strategies, a polling firm, is doing multiple polls of what it deems to be, based on previous election results, battleground counties — indeed some of them are the same counties I picked as battleground counties in an article in the Washington Examiner. Its most recent polls were conducted on July 15, in the week before the Republican National Convention, and in each of the seven counties they found Donald Trump to be running stronger than in its previous polls conducted June 6.
The following is a table showing their July 15 results and the margin, rounded off, between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney in each county in November 2012. The third number shows the difference; keep in mind that since I’m matching margins the results roughly double the percentage of voters who have changed their minds.
