After the wave comes the liberation

Published



The wave is approaching the shoreline. No, I am not talking to surfers. I am talking to Republicans and independents. The wave they have been awaiting is an electoral wave, and it seems to be coming in. A veteran of many campaigns, Donald Rumsfeld, came in from the campaign trail a few days ago saying, “It’s feeling good out there.” Nate Silver, the left-leaning psephologist, says the Republicans have a better than even chance to win both houses. He puts their chances of capturing the Senate at 63 percent. Remember, too, that the mainstream media is full of uncertainty. That seals it. Republicans are headed for another election wave much like 2010.

In 2010, the independent vote sided with the conservatives, and the Republicans won a historic victory. In 2012, they lost. But that was because 2012 was a rerun of 2008 when Americans had a chance to show that had finally moved beyond racial prejudice by voting for a black man for president. Looking back on it, I would say his election was almost inevitable. Even I was fetched by Barack Obama, at least then. Surely you did not expect the 2008 Obama supporters to turn their backs on Obama in 2012? But by 2014, Obama is not on the ballot. Only his policies are, as he was so oblivious to confirm the other day. The vast majority has made it clear that it does not like those policies. Now the 2010 coalition of independent voters and conservative voters has come together again and one thing more. The four million conservative voters who stayed home in the last election rather than vote for Mitt Romney will be out in force. 2014 will be a wave. Possibly not the wave that we saw in 2010, but after Nov. 4, there will be a lot of Democratic pols packing their bags on Capitol Hill.

Full midterm coverage.Deeper analysis.

Get unlimited access to Washington Examiner's reporting, expert analysis, and coverage of the midterm elections.

Get Unlimited Access

Cancel anytime.