The Use and Abuse of History

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It’s hard to believe Thursday night’s debate did much to alter the dynamics of the 2012 GOP presidential race. And it’s unlikely Saturday’s Ames straw poll will do so either, though it will begin to winnow the field.

History suggests that the race—absent an intervention—is predictably headed toward a showdown between 2008 runner-up Mitt Romney and Texas governor Rick Perry.

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