Ethanol folks get rich messing up the economy

In case you haven’t cracked open your issue of All About Feed, here’s the latest in animal feed news:

For the first time in US history vehicles are predicted to use more corn than livestock this year. According to USDA estimates, 5.1 billion bushels of corn will be used to make ethanol this year, compared to 4.9 billion for livestock feed.

(Of course, my column reported this more than a month ago. I guess some of us keep more up to date on our World Agricultural Supply & Demand Estimates.)

At the same time we find out that the U.S. is now the world’s largest exporter of ethanol. Think about that for a minute. Here is a fuel that would not exist without subsidies, and we’re exporting it.

Meanwhile, ethanol futures are rising because the price of corn is rising. Considering that we’re required to mix ethanol with our gasoline, this could drive up fuel prices even as oil falls.

NPR reports that this corn climb is roiling markets:

All the while, demand for corn seems to be insatiable — the ethanol industry, livestock and export markets can’t seem to get enough. Economists say demand will likely continue to outstrip supply for some time, keeping grain prices and the cost of food high.

This flurry of high corn prices has traders flocking to the commodity, in some ways treating it like the new gold. Traders are speculating on corn prices well into 2013, and there are some bets on corn futures even further out. Money in corn futures is five times what it was in 2004, according to numbers from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. There is nearly a $2 trillion market for corn alone.

One of the arguments against political interference in markets is that it creates distortions and uncertainty. On that score, corn is king.

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