Another poll is out Thursday showing former President Donald Trump ahead of President Joe Biden in several swing states that are likely to determine the 2024 outcome.
Trump is up in Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Wisconsin, while Biden leads in Michigan, Emerson College Polling said.
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“Biden is generally underperforming his 2020 support with voters under 30, whereas Trump has locked in his support with middle-aged voters,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of the polls.
Unusual in the new survey is a question about why voters are going with Trump or Biden.
“Dislike” of the other guy was the top choice for likely voters overall. Kimball said, “Trump and Biden voters were asked why they chose to support their candidate for president: if they dislike one of the candidates, like one of the candidates, vote for their party’s candidate, care about an issue, or something else. Overall, 29% of likely voters support their candidate because they dislike the other candidate, while 24% support their candidate because they like that candidate, 21% because they care about an issue, and 15% support their party’s candidate.”
However, when the results were broken down for each candidate, Kimball’s team found a key difference between Trump and Biden supporters: Trump’s supporters were backing him because they liked him more.
“A plurality of Trump likely voters (30%) support the former president because they ‘like one of the candidates,’ while 24% are voting because they ‘care about an issue,’ 19% because they ‘dislike one of the candidates,’ and 14% to vote for their party’s candidate,” he said in releasing the survey.
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Not so with Biden voters, for whom dislike of Trump dominates.
“A plurality (39%) of Biden likely voters support the president because they ‘dislike one of the candidates,’ while 18% vote for Biden because they like him, 16% support him to support the party candidate, and 19% support him because they ‘care about an issue,’” he said.
