History professor who predicted Trump 2016 win forecasts Biden victory in 2020

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An American University history professor who has predicted nearly every presidential election since 1984 projects former Vice President Joe Biden will best President Trump in the general election.

Historian Allan Lichtman, who wrote a bestselling book in 2017 arguing that Trump be impeached, based his Wednesday analysis on 13 factors. If six or more of the key factors weigh in favor of the challenger, he said the result is a “political earthquake.”

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