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CHAIRMAN JIM: For eight months, Sen. Jim Inhofe of Oklahoma had been effectively running the Senate Armed Services Committee as its chairman John McCain was ailing in Arizona. The Senate has now moved to officially hand him the gavel to the committee, which holds powerful sway over Pentagon programs and policy. Armed Services members voted for Inhofe Wednesday and the full Senate is expected to ratify the decision today. “Jim Inhofe filled in for Sen. McCain during a difficult year. He rose to the occasion and helped lead the committee in passing crucial legislation that honored the example of his predecessor and the volunteers who defend our nation,” Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said. REPLACING McCAIN: The conventional wisdom on Capitol Hill is there is no obvious heir apparent to McCain, a singular political personality and dogged critic of Pentagon programs. At the end of his life, McCain also became a top foil to President Trump. Inhofe, 83, has about 23 years of experience serving on the Armed Services committee. A strong backer of the military and Army veteran, Inhofe is also known as a staunch party conservative and pro-Trump Republican. The two senators often butted heads over policy, as Inhofe remembered following McCain’s death on Aug. 25. “There were so many areas [of disagreement] because of all the years we served together, not just in the Armed Services Committee, but in his time in the House and my time in the House. We had differences of opinion, and I think I’m a little bit stubborn sometimes too,” Inhofe said. THE ROAD AHEAD: Inhofe will now be in the driver’s seat when the committee begins work this winter on the next National Defense Authorization Act, the panel’s signature piece of must-pass legislation, and likely grapples with the return of budget caps on defense spending. Trump’s Space Force may be the biggest looming policy question on the horizon. The Pentagon plans to request the new sixth military branch, one of the most profound reorganizations since the Air Force was created in 1947, as part of its budget in February. Inhofe and the committee had pushed back on the president’s plan, but the incoming chairman has indicated he is warming to the idea. MATTIS OUT? Just days after Bob Woodward’s new book reported Defense Secretary Jim Mattis made disparaging comments about Trump, the White House has apparently leaked discussions about replacing the secretary, the Washington Post has reported. The search for a replacement was underway before Woodward reported Mattis groused about Trump having the policy understanding of a “fifth- or six-grader.” Mattis released a statement saying that and other extraordinary exchanges in the book are fiction. “The president has always respected him. But now he has every reason to wonder what Mattis is saying behind his back. The relationship has nowhere to go but down, fast,” an anonymous senior White House official told the Post. There is reportedly a widespread expectation in the administration that Mattis could soon step down. WHO’S ON THE LIST: At the top of the informal list is reportedly retired Gen. Jack Keane, who served as the Army’s vice chief and is the chairman of the board at the Institute for the Study of War. Sens. Lindsey Graham and Tom Cotton are also both in the running, according to the Post, as well as Jim Talent, a former Missouri senator, and David McCormick, a hedge fund CEO who was formerly an undersecretary at the Treasury Department and a White House official. TRUMP SAYS HE’S STAYING: If there are doubts about Mattis’ future, Trump did not let on Wednesday afternoon when he was questioned whether the defense secretary will stay in his job. “He’ll stay right there. We’re very happy with him. We’re having a lot of victories. We’re having victories that people don’t even know about, and he’s highly respected all over the world,” Trump said. He also called Mattis’ denial statement the “nicest quote about me I think I’ve ever had.” Though if the past is a guide, that could change suddenly. Trump called “fake news” on reports that former Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, who had a close relationship with Mattis, was on the outs in December. Tillerson managed to hang on until March. Good Thursday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, compiled by National Security Writer Travis J. Tritten (@travis_tritten) and Senior Editor David Brown (@dave_brown24). Jamie is off this week. Email us here for tips, suggestions, calendar items and anything else. If a friend sent this to you and you’d like to sign up, click here. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow us on Twitter @dailyondefense. |
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HAPPENING TODAY — WILSON AT CNAS: Air Force Secretary Heather Wilson talks to the Center for a New American Security at 4 p.m. about readiness and innovative acquisition. SHUTDOWN OVER WALL? There might be trouble on the horizon for the budget. Trump said Wednesday he is “willing to do anything,” including shut down the federal government, to secure adequate funding for his border wall this fall. “If it’s about border security, I’m willing to do anything,” Trump told reporters at the White House when asked about the possibility of a shutdown at the end of the month. “We have to protect our borders. If we don’t protect our borders, our country isn’t going to be a country anymore. So if it’s about border security, I’m willing to do what has to be done.” On temporarily closing down the federal government, he added: “If it happens it happens.” AND THEN: Republicans who met with Trump Wednesday said the group agreed to a plan to fund the federal government in September. McConnell, Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn, House Speaker Paul Ryan and House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy “reaffirmed the September plan to fund the government,” a top GOP aide told the Washington Examiner. THORNBERRY STILL BULLISH ON DEFENSE BUDGET: Despite the possibility of a wall funding fight, the outlook is still good for the military’s 2019 budget this month, Rep. Mac Thornberry, the House Armed Services chairman, said during in a speech Thursday at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. “There is a very good chance that the military will be fully funded on time for the first time in a long time this year,” Thornberry said. The president has already signed the 2019 National Defense Authorization Act and the House and Senate are poised to negotiate a final appropriations bill for the Pentagon. THE CHAIRMAN’S WARNING: Thornberry was at CSIS to accept the 2018 Sam Nunn National Security Leadership Prize, and the chairman had a warning about the state of U.S. politics. “If someone asks me, what do you worry about the most, that classic what keeps you up at night sort of question, my answer is always, ‘What we do to ourselves,’ ” he said. “I am distressed at what’s happening in both parties. We have always had fringe elements in our politics, but other than the Civil War the things that brought us together have been stronger than the things that tore us apart. The centrifugal forces now however are quite strong,” Thornberry said. Twitter may be partly to blame. “In today’s media environment where every thought can be published, it is obviously tempting to voice an opinion on every tweet or interview. There has got to be one faction or the other that will cheer. But when every utterance is a criticism, it dilutes the effectiveness of all criticism. It all runs together. The public tunes it out and we divide into our opposing camps,” he said. SMITH: WOODWARD BOOK RINGS TRUE: The claim in Bob Woodward’s forthcoming book that Trump ordered the assassination of Syrian President Bashar Assad has the “whiff of truth,” said Rep. Adam Smith, the ranking Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee. “Whether you take Bob Woodward’s book at face value or not, it’s got the whiff of truth, let’s just put it that way,” said Smith told an audience at a Defense News Conference in Pentagon City. “When you think about several things that the president has tweeted out on other subjects that we’ve all seen, it’s not hard to imagine him waking up one day and saying, ‘Why can’t we just kill Assad? Let’s go kill him.’ ” PRAISE FOR SPACE FORCE: Trump’s call for a new Space Force military branch still faces a long legislative road ahead, but two key players rounded out support for the plan on Wednesday — Smith and the Air Force’s Wilson. Smith praised the effort as a good idea. “There is pretty strong bipartisan support for this, so I think it is going to happen, it’s a question of the details,” he said. Wilson was among the early and vocal critics of the House plan to stand up a “Space Corps” in 2017 and originally warned it would create unneeded bureaucracy. “None of this can happen without the Congress’ involvement obviously. But if we’re going to do this let’s propose to do it right, let’s have this debate, support the president’s proposal and put it forward, and make sure that we don’t do this with half measures,” Wilson said. “That’s probably the most important part for me.” THE STORY BEHIND TRUMP’S TRANSGENDER TWEET: Trump had promised his top advisers a discussion about transgender troops in the military last summer, but instead surprised them and his administration by announcing a total ban on Twitter, according to Woodward’s new book. The president sent out the series of July 2017 tweets declaring the troops would not serve “in any capacity” about an hour before he was supposed to meet chief of staff Reince Priebus and chief strategist Steve Bannon in the Oval Office to discuss a list of potential options hammered out by the National Security Council. “What’d you think of my tweet?” Trump reportedly asked Priebus later, according to a copy of the book obtained by the Washington Examiner. “I think it would’ve been better if we had a decision memo, looped Mattis in,” Priebus replied. SECDEF EYES INDIA PACT: The U.S. may be prepared to sign a new pact on sharing sensitive military technology with India today during a “2+2” cabinet-level meeting in New Delhi, Mattis told reporters. “I think that we’re pretty much there already, on the American side. We’ll see where they’re at. Our staff’s been meeting, and once we get that put in place, that does give us the opportunity to share some of the sensitive technology,” he said. Mattis, who is joined in the talks with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, declined to say what technology might be traded as the Trump administration tries to strengthen ties with a “consequential” regional ally. “We have to know that when we share this with another like-minded nation, that we can keep it secure, just like we do when the Navy talks to the U.S. Army. It’s no different. You maintain security over this kind of technology,” Mattis told reporters on his plane. ABOUT THOSE AGING AIRCRAFT COSTS: For the past few years, defense budget debates have been dominated by talk of aging military aircraft. But rising costs to keep those old planes flying may be deceiving, according to an analysis by the Congressional Budget Office. “Although aircraft age is important and does appear to increase aircraft [operation and support] costs, the size of the total Air Force budget also appears to affect cost growth. In particular, when the Air Force has more resources available, it tends to spend more to operate and maintain its aircraft. Such investments may be wholly appropriate, but they obscure underlying, intrinsic age effects,” the CBO analysis says. In the 1990s, CBO found 1-3 percent annual cost growth related to aging aircraft. The rate was 3-7 percent in the 2000s. “In other words, because the Air Force had more resources available, it was able to increase spending on aircraft operation and maintenance,” CBO reported. PATRIOTS TO THE NETHERLANDS: The State Department has approved the possible sale of four Patriot fire units to the Netherlands at a cost of $105 million. “This sale improves the Netherlands’ capability to meet current and future enemy threats,” said a statement from the Defense Security Cooperation Agency. “The Netherlands will use the enhanced capability to strengthen its homeland defense and deter regional threats, and provide direct support to coalition and security cooperation efforts.” Work on the recap will be performed by U.S. government officials at Letterkenny Army Depot in Chambersburg, Pa. AFGHANISTAN SOLDIER ID’d: The U.S. service member who died in Afghanistan on Monday was Staff Sgt. Diobanjo S. Sanagustin, 32, from National City, Calif., the Pentagon said. He died in a non-combat incident at Bagram Air Field. Sanagustin was the second soldier death after the military announced Monday that Command Sgt. Maj. Timothy Bolyard was killed in an insider attack. KIM HAS FAITH IN TRUMP: North Korea leader Kim Jong Un still has faith in Trump despite a breakdown in negotiations, the South Korean government has said following talks with the North, the AP reported this morning. Kim appeared to confirm his desire to denuclearize but also underscored the need for “goodwill measures,” an apparent reference to the North’s demand that the U.S. make concessions before Pyongyang gives up nuclear weapons. South Korea delivered a message from Trump to Kim during the talks, though it did not disclose the contents, and also set up another meeting between Kim and South Korean President Moon Jae-in for Sept. 18-20, according to the report. FROM TERRORISTS TO NATIONS: Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen said Wednesday the United States is “witnessing the re-rise of the hostile nation state” following years of the department’s focus on non-state threats since the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. “Our nation-state rivals are increasingly asserting themselves in ways that endanger our homeland. In fact, threats to the U.S. from foreign adversaries are at the highest levels since the Cold War,” Nielsen said during a speech at George Washington University in Washington, D.C. THE RUNDOWN Wall Street Journal: Mattis Plans to Remove Pentagon’s Chief Management Officer Washington Examiner: China: Nikki Haley makes ‘groundless and irresponsible accusations’ about North Korea Marine Corps Times: Marine F-35Bs with the 13th MEU enter Middle East for first time Army Times: Space Force? Tell it to these soldiers who are already working in space operations Business Insider: The Air Force is revoking a big bomb-making deal from a company linked to a Russian oligarch Bloomberg: Lockheed’s $2 Million Drone Race Pits Human Versus Machine Breaking Defense: In Push For Arms Exports, Top State Official Moves To DoD CNN: State Department’s top candidate to lead efforts countering disinformation: A Fox News reporter Defense News: US Navy to launch force structure assessment UPI: Sierra Nevada receives $1.8B for Afghan A-29s Military Times: Pompeo, Dunford hopeful US-Pakistan relations can restart Associated Press: New US adviser to Afghanistan raises hackles in region |
CalendarTHURSDAY | SEPT. 6 7 a.m. 201 Waterfront St. DARPA 60th Anniversary Symposium with retired Adm. William McRaven. d60.darpa.mil 12 noon. 214 Massachusetts Ave. NE. War or Peace: The Struggle for World Power. heritage.org 3 p.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. India and the U.S.: An Evolving Strategic Partnership. hudson.org 4 p.m. 1152 15th St. NW. Discussion with Air Force Secretary Heather Wilson. cnas.org FRIDAY | SEPT. 7 7 a.m. 201 Waterfront St. DARPA 60th Anniversary Symposium with Michael Griffin, Under Secretary of Defense for Research and Engineering. d60.darpa.mil 8 a.m. 2401 M St. NW. Defense Writers Group Breakfast with Andrea Thompson, Under Secretary of State for Arms Control and International Security. 10 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. N.W. Fascism: A conversation with Madeleine Albright and Strobe Talbott. brookings.edu 12:15 p.m. 740 15th St. NW. Iran and Al Qa‘ida: The View from Abottabad. newamerica.org MONDAY | SEPT. 10 9 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. Securing Space: A Discussion on the U.S. Space Force with Robert Work, Former Deputy Secretary of Defense. csis.org 12 noon. 1127 Connecticut Ave NW. Federalist Society Hosts National Security Advisor John Bolton for an Address on Protecting American Constitutionalism and Sovereignty from International Threats. fedsoc.org 12 noon. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. The War on Something-ism: 17 Years and Counting. hudson.org 5:30 p.m. 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW. A Conversation with Former Secretary of State John Kerry about his new memoir Every Day is Extra. carnegieendowment.org TUESDAY | SEPT. 11 10:30 a.m. 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW. Trade Battles, North Korea, and U.S.-Japan China Policy. carnegieendowment.org 2 p.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW. A conversation about China’s sharp power and Taiwan. brookings.edu 3 p.m. 1030 15th St. NW. Putin’s Propaganda: Pushing Back Against Kremlin-Run Television. atlanticcouncil.org WEDNESDAY | SEPT. 12 11 a.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Book Launch of No Place for Russia with Author William Hill. wilsoncenter.org 12:30 p.m. 1211 Connecticut Ave. NW. Russia and Arctic Governance: Cooperation in Conflict. stimson.org 12:30 p.m. 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW. Escalation Through Entanglement. carnegieendowment.org |
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