The polls are wrong again: Republicans expect Trump battleground triumphs

Republicans are confident President Trump can once again beat expectations and outperform his poll numbers in the battleground states. A second term hinges on whether they are correct.

The public polling in the states most critical to Trump’s reelection chances has been a mixed bag. He is on track to erase Joe Biden’s lead in Florida, though a massive Michael Bloomberg expenditure on behalf of the Democratic nominee looms there, and in North Carolina. But he is still behind by an average of 4 to 7 points in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Arizona, all states he carried in 2016.