At the Pentagon, mass confusion over future of ‘war games’ with South Korea

CONFUSION REIGNS: At the Pentagon yesterday there was widespread confusion about exactly how President Trump’s surprise pronouncement ending “provocative war games” with South Korea would be implemented as a practical matter. The early line was that U.S. and South Korean forces would continue to train together, but not in large-scale, “in your face” exercises, and that preliminary planning was just beginning to look at ways to “restructure, scale down or reschedule” upcoming exercises.

But as the president was on the plane for the long fight back to Washington from Singapore, the Pentagon was waiting for more guidance, and a report from its own liaison with the State Department’s negotiating team, Randall Schriver, assistant secretary of defense for Asian and Pacific security affairs.

All would be clearer when the Pentagon issued a formal statement later in the day, I was told. But after being scrubbed for hours, when the statement finally came, it said nothing about the fate of military exercises. The closest it came was a boilerplate reassurance that the U.S. alliances “remain ironclad, and ensure peace and stability in the region.”

CONFUSION BUILDS: The level of uncertainty increased after Vice President Mike Pence met with Republicans on the Hill. “I think what the vice president said today will continue to clarify what the president had talked about. Exercises will continue with South Korea. Look forward to further comment and clarification from the president when he gets here,” Sen. Cory Gardner said during a GOP leadership news conference. Pence’s press secretary Alyssa Farah later denied on Twitter that the vice president said that. Gardner followed up with a tweet saying that Pence “was very clear” that “regular readiness training and training exchanges will continue … but “went on to say while this readiness training and exchanges will occur, war games will not.”

That, for what it’s worth, was what I was hearing as I made the rounds of the Pentagon yesterday morning.

THE FINAL WORD: After being promised some clarity, a group of reporters who hung around the hallway outside chief spokesperson Dana White’s E-ring office was finally told late in the afternoon she would have nothing more to say. It was left to Col. Rob Manning, a lower level spokesman, to tell the reporters that whatever was done regarding exercises would “align with the president’s desires.”

WHO KNEW? I was also told that the Pentagon was not surprised by the president’s war games concession to Kim Jong Un, which had been broadly hinted at by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo the day before the meeting, when he said “We’re prepared to take what will be security assurances that are different, unique than [what] America’s been willing to provide previously.” In speaking to reporters Monday at the Pentagon, Defense Secretary Jim Mattis said there was no discussion of pulling any U.S. troops out of the South, but no one asked about the exercises.

“Mattis spoke about what was not on the table, not what was on the table,” said one official who insisted top DoD officials were aware of the president’s plans. It was all reminiscent of last year’s surprise transgender troop announcement by Trump, in which we were told repeatedly that senior leaders at the Pentagon knew it was coming, only to slowly discover in the subsequent weeks that virtually no one knew. By day’s end yesterday, it became clear that the number of people who supposedly knew the war games ban was coming could be counted on one hand with a few fingers left over.

WHO WON? While South Korea and U.S. lawmakers were taken by surprise by Trump’s decision to announce an end to “war games,” China apparently was not. Hours before Trump’s news conference in Singapore where he made the big reveal, China’s foreign ministry had a briefing for reporters in which a spokesman said China’s “suspension for suspension” proposal, (also known as “freeze for freeze”) was now being implemented.

And while Trump said there would be no lifting of economic sanctions, China suggested just the opposite: that the U.N. Security Council consider suspending or lifting sanctions if North Korea is in compliance with U.N. resolutions and makes progress in diplomatic negotiations.

‘PEACE-LOVING’ KIM: It was all rainbows and unicorns in Pyongyang today, as the triumphant Kim was dutifully lionized in North Korea’s state-run media upon his return.

“President Trump appreciated that an atmosphere of peace and stability was created on the Korean Peninsula and in the region, although distressed with the extreme danger of armed clash only a few months ago, thanks to the proactive peace-loving measures taken by the respected Supreme Leader from the outset of this year,” said North’s Korean Central News Agency, as reported by the AP.

WHAT WORKED: “Fire and fury” and “little rocket man.” In his interview with Fox’s Sean Hannity, Trump admitted he felt a little foolish at times, but insisted his over-the-top rhetoric changed the dynamic and helped bring Kim to the negotiating table. “I think without the rhetoric we wouldn’t have been here. I really believe that,” Trump said. “Other administrations,” he said “had a policy of silence.”

“If they said something very bad, very threatening and horrible, just don’t answer. That’s not the answer. That’s not what you have to do. So, I think the rhetoric, I hated to do it, sometimes I felt foolish doing it, but we had no choice,” Trump explained.

Good Wednesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre), National Security Writer Travis J. Tritten (@travis_tritten) and Senior Editor David Brown (@dave_brown24). Email us here for tips, suggestions, calendar items and anything else. If a friend sent this to you and you’d like to sign up, click here. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow us on Twitter @dailyondefense.

ADVERTISEMENT
Image
Image Image

NDAA STILL JAMMED: Disputes over amendments continued to hold up the Senate’s $716 billion National Defense Authorization Act bill on Tuesday. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell filed to eventually bring debate to an end, but the bill will be back on the Senate floor today. “Ninety-five percent of the people on this side of the aisle support intellectually this amendment. I would bet that, I would bet higher than 95 percent, and a lot of them would vote for it if it came to a vote,” Sen. Bob Corker said on the Senate floor, his voice rising. “But no, no, no. Gosh, ‘we might poke the bear’ is the language I’ve been hearing in the hallways. ‘We might poke the bear, the president might get upset with us as United States senators if we vote on the Corker amendment, so we’re going to do everything we can to block it!’”

Corker’s amendment, one of several drawing opposition and delaying the NDAA, would require Congress to sign off on Trump’s steel and aluminum trade tariffs. Minority Leader Chuck Schumer has also gotten behind the amendment. Per Senate rules, individual lawmakers can hold up passage of the must-pass policy bill as leverage to get votes on their own legislation. Sens. Rand Paul and Mike Lee are also still pressing for votes on their amendments to end indefinite detention of terror suspects. Paul has been pushing it for six years but is facing opposition from Sen. Lindsey Graham.

“We presume people to be innocent. We don’t lock people up because they’re Japanese, not any longer. We don’t lynch people because they’re black, not any longer, because the Bill of Rights applies to everyone. But if you say, ‘well, he’s accused of terrorism’ he shouldn’t get a trial or she shouldn’t get a trial,” Paul said on the Senate floor. Graham came to the floor and said he believes Paul has been wrong for six years on the issues. “There is a reason I’m not talking about eye surgery on the floor. I don’t know anything about it. You’re talking about legal concepts you clearly don’t know anything about,” Graham said. There is little love lost between the two. Paul called Graham a “danger to the country” on Monday.

HAPPENING TODAY: Trump arrived home this morning after the long flight from Singapore, as Air Force One touched down at Joint Base Andrews just before 6 a.m. “Just landed – a long trip, but everybody can now feel much safer than the day I took office,” Trump tweeted. “There is no longer a Nuclear Threat from North Korea. Meeting with Kim Jong Un was an interesting and very positive experience. North Korea has great potential for the future!

“Before taking office people were assuming that we were going to War with North Korea. President Obama said that North Korea was our biggest and most dangerous problem. No longer – sleep well tonight!”

Meanwhile, Pompeo has landed in Seoul, where he plans to meet privately tonight with U.S. Korea Commander Gen. Vincent Brooks, and then tomorrow will brief South Korean President Moon Jae-in, and then have a separate meeting with his South Korea and Japanese counterparts. From Seoul, Pompeo will travel to Beijing to update the Chinese government on the talks.

LAWMAKERS REACT: When Pompeo gets back, a lot of members of Congress will want the chance to question him. Senate Armed Services Republicans don’t seem overly concerned about the decision to scale back U.S. military activity. “I don’t mind that. Training will continue but the joint exercises are to convey a message to North Korea that you’ll lose a war between North Korea, South Korea and the United States. I’m willing to give some breathing space, see if we can find a deal that would be good for the world including North Korea and the United States,” Graham said.

Sen. Mike Rounds said he was surprised that Trump “went that far” during the summit, but does not oppose the move. “They are critical to the safety of our men and women who are in uniform who have to coordinate with South Korean forces along with Japanese forces. They play a very important role but that does not mean that we cannot do a short delay. And I think I would look at it as more of a delay as opposed to a permanent elimination. I don’t think that is what he meant,” Rounds said.

SOME LUKEWARM REACTION: Trump is fond of saying “we’ll see what happens” when he is asked how events might play out. That was the general response Tuesday to his historic summit with Kim from lawmakers on the House and Senate armed services committees. “It is perfectly reasonable to hope that we are seeing the beginning of a process that will lead to a complete, permanent, verifiable end to North Korea’s nuclear capabilities. It is also perfectly reasonable to be skeptical of North Korea’s intentions, given its history of broken agreements,” said Rep. Mac Thornberry, the House Armed Services Committee chairman.

Sen. Jack Reed, the top Democrat on the Senate Armed Services Committee, said it was too early to know whether the summit was a success or failure. “The summit conferred legitimacy on Kim Jong Un and it is not clear the United States received sufficient assurances in exchange for giving North Korea’s dictator the brightest of spotlights on the global stage,” Reed said. “Any agreement must ensure that North Korea is verifiably living up to its obligations.” The skepticism over the North’s pledge to work toward denuclearization included Republican leadership. “Only time will tell if North Korea is serious this time, and in the meantime we must continue to apply maximum economic pressure,” House Speaker Paul Ryan said.

STILL BETTER OFF: Even some of Trump’s sharpest critics conceded the world is better off debating the merits of the peace talks than the prospect of war. “We’re in a much better place where we’re on the diplomatic path as opposed to where we were, say, six or eight months ago. That’s the only real solution here in my mind,” said James Clapper, former director of national intelligence, speaking on CNN where he is a paid contributor.

“Bottom line: Tensions on Korean Peninsula have been reduced; danger of war has receded; we have a process towards peace endorsed by hard-liners in both North Korea & US; but this could all collapse unless there is a lot more done to concretize these vague promises and quickly,” tweeted Joe Cirincione, president of the Ploughshares Fund.

“Let’s be clear that what previous presidents have done all the way back to George H.W. Bush and President [Bill] Clinton has not been working with North Korea, and so President Trump tried a top-down approach. In that sense at least we are a lot further away from the risk of conflict and war than we were at the end of 2017,” said Vipin Narang, an associate professor of political science at MIT, in an interview with the BBC.

Narang is co-author of an analysis that concludes the Singapore summit marked Kim’s entry on the world stage as the leader of a nuclear state.

ATTACK HELOS TO INDIA: The State Department has greenlit a possible $930 million sale to India of parts and munitions for six AH-64E Apache helicopters. The U.S. ally is cleared to buy engines and other parts as well as Hellfire Longbow, Hellfire II and Stinger missiles, according to the announcement Tuesday. Congress and the Pentagon have been working to bolster ties with India to counter the increasing influence of China in the region. The prime contractors are Lockheed Martin, General Electric and Raytheon.

FUN FLYOVER: Four F-16s from the D.C. Air National Guard flew over the Mall yesterday as the city celebrated the Washington Capitals and their Stanley Cup victory. The flyover delighted thousands of fans, along with a certain Russian.

caps gif

THE RUNDOWN

Daily Beast: Trump’s Singapore Summit Was a Bust—for the U.S.

Air Force Times: Flights to resume at Kadena Air Base after F-15 crash

Defense One: What ‘Missile Engine Testing Site’ Is Trump Talking About?

New York Times: News Analysis: Vague on Details, Trump Is Betting on ‘Special Bond’ With Kim to Deliver Deal

Roll Call: The Other North Korean Threat: Chemical and Biological Weapons

Defense News: What does America’s ambassador to NATO see for the alliance’s future?

Task and Purpose: Trump: War Games In South Korea Cancelled. Pentagon: WTF?

Business Insider: NATO has put forces in Eastern Europe to counter Russia — here’s where its battle groups are located

Breaking Defense: SASC NDAA Tasks Top Scientists To Suss Out Electronic Warfare Fixes

Military Times: Trump’s nominee for ambassador to South Korea was a vocal supporter of joint military drills

USNI News: Panel: Kremlin Now Reaping Benefits From Years of Investment in Information Warfare

Calendar

WEDNESDAY | JUNE 13

8 a.m. 2301 Constitution Ave. NW. The 7th Annual EU Security & Defense Washington Symposium with Sen. Joni Ernst; Major Gen. Christopher Craige, Director of Strategy, Engagement, and Programs at U.S. Africa Command; and Todd Harvey, Acting Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy, Plans, and Capabilities. csis.org

10 a.m. Rayburn 2212. Subcommittee Hearing on the Department of Defense Aviation Safety Mishap Review and Oversight Process with Brig. Gen. David Francis, Commanding General of U.S. Army Combat Readiness Center; Maj. Gen. John Rauch, Air Force Chief of Safety;  and Rear Adm. Mark Leavitt, Commander of the Naval Safety Center. armedservices.house.gov

10 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. U.S.-Russia Crisis Stability: Results from a Strategic Dialogue. Csis.org

11 a.m. Pentagon Briefing Room. Army Col. Scott Jackson, director, commander, 1st Security Forces Assistance Brigade, Resolute Support, briefs the media by video. Streamed live on www.defense.gov/live.

11 a.m. 214 Massachusetts Ave. NE. Book Discussion of “The Unknowns: The Untold Story of America’s Unknown Soldier and WWI’s Most Decorated Heroes Who Brought Him Home” with Author Patrick O’Donnell. heritage.org

12 noon. Rayburn 2118. Full Committee Markup of the Fiscal Year 2019 Defense Appropriations Bill. appropriations.house.gov

12:30 p.m. 1777 F St. NW. Assessing the Summit: North Korea and Trump. cfr.org

2 p.m. 1030 15th St. NW. Raising the Curtain on the 2018 NATO Brussels Summit with Rep. Mike Turner. atlanticcouncil.org

THURSDAY | JUNE 14

7 a.m. 2660 Woodley Rd. NW. 2018 Women In Defense National Conference. womenindefense.net

8 a.m. 2101 Wilson Blvd. Health Affairs Breakfast featuring Terry Rauch, Acting Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Health Readiness Policy and Oversight. ndia.org

9 a.m. Rayburn 2212. Subcommittee Hearing on Navy and Air Force Depot Policy Issues and Infrastructure Concerns with Vice Adm. Thomas Moore, Commander of Naval Sea Systems Command; Vice Adm. Dean Peters, Commander of Naval Air Systems Command; and Lt. Gen. Lee Levy, Commander of Air Force Sustainment Center and Material Command. armedservices.house.gov

10 a.m. Dirksen 419. Hearing on the Nomination of Harry Harris to be Ambassador to South Korea. foreign.senate.gov

10 a.m. 740 15th St. NW. Counternarcotics: Lessons from the U.S. Experience in Afghanistan with John Sopko, the Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction. newamerica.org

3 p.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Deepening a Natural Partnership? Assessing the State of U.S.-India Counterterrorism Cooperation. wilsoncenter.org

FRIDAY | JUNE 15

10 a.m. 214 Massachusetts Ave. NE. Reagan’s “Peace through Strength” Cold War Strategy: Integrating Defense, Nuclear Deterrence, Modernization and Arms Control. heritage.org

MONDAY | JUNE 18

9 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. ROK-U.S. Strategic Forum 2018: Assessing the Trump-Kim Summit. csis.org

1 p.m. 1030 15th St. NW. Strategic Challenges in the Baltic Sea Region. atlanticcouncil.org

TUESDAY | JUNE 19

6:45 a.m. 1250 South Hayes St. Special Topic Breakfast with Vice Adm. William Merz, Deputy Chief of Naval Operations for Warfare Systems. navyleague.org

11:30 p.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. Restoring Restraint: Enforcing Accountability for Users of Chemical Weapons. csis.org

12:30 p.m. 1211 Connecticut Ave. Chinese Activities in the Arctic: The Regional Perceptions. stimson.org

WEDNESDAY | JUNE 20

11 a.m. 46870 Tate Rd. NDIA Patuxent River Speaker Series with Rear Adm. Mark Darrah, NAVAIR Program Executive Officer for Unmanned Aviation and Strike Weapons. ndia.org

12 noon. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Driving NATO’s Military Transformation Agenda Forward with Adm. Manfred Nielson, Deputy Supreme Allied Commander Transformation at NATO. hudson.org

12:15 p.m. 740 15th St. NW. Lawless Skies: Airstrikes and Civilian Casualties in Libya. newamerica.org

1 p.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. The Middle East: A Region in Chaos? wilsoncenter.org

1:30 p.m. 1135 16th St. NW. A Discussion of National Security Issues During the Carter Years with Stuart Eizenstat, Former Ambassador to the European Union and White House Domestic Policy Adviser. americanbar.org

ADVERTISEMENT
Image
Image Image
QUOTE OF THE DAY
“I think without the rhetoric we wouldn’t have been here. I really believe that. … I hated to do it, sometimes I felt foolish doing it, but we had no choice.”
President Trump, in an interview with Sean Hannity of Fox News.

Related Content