North and South Korean leaders meet in attempt to get stalled denuclearization talks back on track

SUMMIT DIPLOMACY RESUMES: In less than 24 hours, South Korean President Moon Jae-in will fly from Seoul to Pyongyang for his third face-to-face meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. Moon is banking that better relations between the two Koreas will lower tensions and help set the stage for serious discussions between the U.S. and North Korea on denuclearization. The two leaders are scheduled to have talks Tuesday and Wednesday before Moon returns to Seoul Thursday.

“While many experts worry the upcoming talks between Chairman Kim and President Moon will be nothing more than a photo-op, there is reason to believe a breakthrough is possible — thanks to trade tensions between China and America and U.S. domestic politics,” emails Korea expert Harry Kazianis from Seoul where he is monitoring developments on the eve of the inter-Korea summit. Kazianis, national security adviser to the 2016 presidential campaign of Ted Cruz, argues the looming all-out trade war between Washington and Beijing means China will likely no longer help enforce President Trump’s “maximum pressure” campaign, which increases the pressure to make a deal sooner rather than later.

“Trump may decide a legacy-defining ‘win’ on North Korea is in his immediate interest,” Kazianis argues. “Such a win can only mean one thing: a peace declaration ending the Korean War once and for all. Positive talks between Kim and Moon could lay the needed groundwork for such a historic event.”   

ONE TWEET AWAY: In an appearance on CBS’s “Face the Nation” yesterday, South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham confirmed an anecdote in Bob Woodward’s book Fear that Trump was so frustrated with the lack of progress with North Korea that he was on the verge of ordering by tweet the evacuation of U.S. dependents from South Korea.

“Is that covered accurately in the book?” asked host John Dickerson. “Yes,” Graham replied. “There was a point in time where it looked like nothing was going to happen, there was no dialogue going. And the way you lead up to this is that, once you start moving dependents out of South Korea, that is the signal to everybody that we’re running out of time.

“I had suggested to him, along with others, that once you start moving dependents out, then you’re preparing yourself for a military conflict. That’s the last decision you make. And we got very close to that, but we pulled back,” Graham said. “We were really close to having to make that hard decision.

“Now we have some time. Are they playing us? I don’t know. If they’re playing Trump, we’re going to be in a world of hurt, because he’s going to have no options left. This is the last, best chance for peace right here,” Graham said.

MORE MATTIS SPECULATION: Defense Secretary Jim Mattis has arrived in Skopje, Macedonia, where he is on another mission of reassurance. This time it’s for a prospective NATO member who faces threats from Russia, and who opposes the latest planned expansion of the alliance in the Balkans. Macedonians are voting on a name change for the country to the Republic of North Macedonia that would settle a dispute with Greece and pave the way for NATO accession. Mattis has accused Moscow of interfering in the nationwide referendum, and says his visit is to show solidarity with the Macedonian people.

It’s a familiar role for Mattis, who is seen around the world as a steady counterweight to his mercurial boss. And over the weekend, there was more speculation that Mattis’ high esteem is one reason his stock is falling at the White House. The Washington Post and Politico both ran stories this month suggesting Mattis may be asked to step down after the midterm elections, and on Saturday the New York Times weighed in.

“Interviews with more than a dozen White House, congressional and current and former Defense Department officials over the past six weeks paint a portrait of a president who has soured on his defense secretary, weary of unfavorable comparisons to Mr. Mattis as the adult in the room, and increasingly concerned that he is a Democrat at heart,” writes Times Pentagon correspondent Helene Cooper.

Mattis, Cooper writes, is not seen as enough as a cheerleader for Trump, who would prefer a defense secretary more along the lines of Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who aggressively defends the president’s policies. Mattis, by contrast, is portrayed in the Times report as careful to never disagree politically with Trump but to be uncomfortable with showering false praise. “He has batted down multiple requests from the White House to go on ‘Fox & Friends’ to praise the president’s agenda.”

“Secretary Mattis lives by a code that is part of his DNA,” said Capt. Jeff Davis, who retired last month from the Navy after serving as a spokesman for Mattis since early in the Trump administration. “He is genetically incapable of lying, and genetically incapable of disloyalty.”

Good Monday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre’s Daily on Defense, compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre), National Security Writer Travis J. Tritten (@travis_tritten) and Senior Editor David Brown (@dave_brown24). Email us here for tips, suggestions, calendar items and anything else. If a friend sent this to you and you’d like to sign up, click here. If signing up doesn’t work, shoot us an email and we’ll add you to our list. And be sure to follow us on Twitter @dailyondefense.

HAPPENING TODAY, AFA CONFERENCE: It is the opening day of the Air Force Association’s annual Air, Space and Cyber Conference at National Harbor. Air Force Secretary Heather Wilson is set to deliver her address “The Air Force We Need” at 10:30 a.m. The conference continues through Wednesday with other appearances by Gen. David Goldfein, Air Force chief of staff, Deputy Defense Secretary Pat Shanahan, and others.

DEFENSE BILL VOTE: The Senate is expected to take a final vote this week on the Pentagon’s $674 billion annual funding bill. The House must also pass the appropriations legislation next week when it comes back before it can be sent to Trump and head off another stopgap Pentagon budget at the end of the fiscal year on Sept. 30. The F-35 joint strike fighter and the Navy’s littoral combat ship programs are set to get boosts. The bill also nixed an earlier proposal to force the Air Force into a $623 million capitalization of its Northrop Grumman E-8 Joint Surveillance Target Attack Radar System aircraft, or JSTARS.

“For nine years, Congress has failed in its basic duty to fund the troops on time and give them the certainty they need. That decade of continuing resolutions and thoughtless cuts has sapped our strength and emboldened our enemies. This agreement breaks that cycle, shows Congress doing its job, and keeps faith with the men and women in uniform,” Rep. Mac Thornberry, the House Armed Services chairman, said in a statement.

HOLD ON F-35s CONTINUES: The defense bill underscores Congress’ disapproval of Turkey’s imprisoning U.S. pastor Andrew Brunson by continuing a temporary ban on transfers of F-35 joint strike fighters to the NATO ally. It backs a prohibition originally signed last month by Trump in the National Defense Authorization Act that freezes deliveries until Mattis gives lawmakers a report on U.S.-Turkey relations. The 90-day deadline on the report is in November.

TURKEY’S S-400: Brunson is being detained on terrorism charges that members of Congress call bogus, further straining deteriorating relations between Ankara and Washington. But lawmakers are also upset about Turkey’s purchase of an S-400 anti-missile system from Russia. Sen. Chris Van Hollen criticized the defense bill’s “fuzzy language” that strips a provision making deliveries of F-35s a condition of Ankara giving up the system, which would not be compatible with NATO.

“While President Trump has taken action to attempt to gain the release of Americans unjustly imprisoned by the Turkish government, he has not told President Erdogan that Turkey’s purchase of Russian defense systems will undermine NATO’s security. That is why Congress must not equivocate on this issue,” Van Hollen said in a statement.

NATO IN THE MIDDLE: On Friday, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said that while “decisions on acquisition of military capabilities is a national decision,” it is important that NATO members buy weapons systems that are compatible with those used by the alliance. In remarks at the Heritage Foundation, Stoltenberg expressed concern about the growing rift between U.S. and Turkey. “I have discussed this many times in Ankara, also discussed it in Washington, and I hope that it’s possible to find a solution, because what we see now is a challenge for all of us,” he said during a q-and-a session.

“Turkey is a very important ally for NATO for many reasons, but not least because of its geographic location,” Stoltenberg said. “If you look at the map you see how big Turkey is, but also how Turkey is bordering Iraq, Syria, and you will understand why Turkey has been so important in the fight against ISIS/Daesh. Infrastructure bases, air bases have been extremely important in the success we have had in degrading and fighting ISIS.”

NO McCAIN NATO HQ: A minor campaign was underway to lobby NATO to name its new billion-dollar Brussels headquarters after the late Sen. John McCain. Despite a resolution in favor of the naming that is supported by two dozen members of Congress, Stoltenberg said Friday the alliance would find another way to honor the senator for being a staunch NATO advocate.

“NATO doesn’t have a tradition of naming buildings after politicians. You know, we are 29 allies with a lot of presidents, kings, heads of state and government, so we haven’t introduced that tradition,” Stoltenberg said. “I’m certain that we will be able to honor John McCain, but not necessarily through naming a building. And actually, we honor John McCain every day through the fact that we stand together in NATO and deliver a strong trans-Atlantic deterrence and defense.”

POMPEO CASTIGATES KERRY: Former Secretary of State John Kerry’s revelation that he met with Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif three or four times since leaving office has drawn a sharp rebuke from his successor.

“What Secretary Kerry has done is unseemly and unprecedented. This is a former secretary of state engaged with the world’s largest state sponsor of terror,” Pompeo said in an appearance in the State Department briefing room. “He was talking to them. He was telling them to wait out this administration. You can’t find precedent for this in U.S. history and Secretary Kerry ought not engage in that kind of behavior. It’s inconsistent with what foreign policy of the United States is, as directed by this president and it is beyond inappropriate for him to be engaged.”

Trump weighed in on Twitter calling Kerry’s meetings with “the very hostile” Iranian regime “illegal,” and saying they “only serve to undercut our great work.”

“He told them to wait out the Trump Administration! Was he registered under the Foreign Agents Registration Act? BAD!” Trump wrote.

Kerry, who insists it’s not uncommon for former secretaries of state to continue to talk to world leaders, answered on Twitter later in the day. “Mr. President, you should be more worried about Paul Manafort meeting with Robert Mueller than me meeting with Iran’s FM. But if you want to learn something about the nuclear agreement that made the world safer, buy my new book, Every Day Is Extra,” Kerry said, referring to his just-published memoir.

THE WILMINGTON AIRLIFT: The city of Wilmington, N.C., has been cut off from the rest of the state by floodwaters from Florence, prompting a massive effort to airlift food and water to the city’s nearly 120,000 residents.

The military remains in a supporting role, with more than 13,000 active-duty, guard and reserve troops deployed to the disaster zone, along with more than 100 helicopters and 3,000 Army High Water Vehicles.

Although Florence has been downgraded to a tropical depression, it has still been dumping water over six states, and North and South Carolina are getting the worst of it. “It’s turning into a flood event,” said FEMA Administrator Brock Long on CBS. “People fail to heed warnings and get out, or they get into the floodwaters trying to escape their home, and that’s where you start to see death escalate. So, even though hurricanes are categorized by wind, it’s the water that really causes the most loss of life.”

More than 1,000 people have had to be rescued from rising waters, including 230 in eastern North Carolina alone, according to the National Guard. Among the rescued are more than 75 pets.

THE RUNDOWN

Defense News: Modernization or death: Heed history’s lessons on the F-35

Politico: Russia’s military dalliance with China

Task and Purpose: Marines, Coast Guard Rescue Dozens Of Civilians From Hurricane Florence Devastation

Bloomberg: Lockheed Wins GPS Satellite Contract Worth Up to $7.2 Billion

Breaking Defense: Aircraft Win Big In FY19 Appropriations: Munitions, Space, Marines Hammered

Air Force Times: T-6 hypoxia problem solved, Air Force announces

BuzzFeed: A Coast Guard Member Was Removed From Hurricane Duty For Making An “Offensive” Hand Gesture On TV

Air Force Times: Air Force chief: Light attack is about more than hardware, it’s a boon for intelligence networks

Defense One: On the Campaign Trail for NATO, With Secretary General Stoltenberg

USNI News: Navy Pauses Operations of MQ-4C Triton Squadron After Crash-Landing This Week

Defense News: US, Russia Remain At ‘Impasse’ Over Open Skies Treaty Flights

Calendar

MONDAY | SEPT. 17

9 a.m. 201 Waterfront St. AFA’s annual Air, Space & Cyber Conference with Air Force Secretary Heather Wilson. afa.org

11 a.m. 214 Massachusetts Ave. NE. The Enduring Legacy of Desert Storm and Desert Shield. heritage.org

1:30 p.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. A Discussion on National Security with DIA Director Lt. Gen Robert Ashley. csis.org

TUESDAY | SEPT. 18

6:45 a.m. 1250 South Hayes St. Special Topic Breakfast with Rear Adm. John Neagley, Program Executive Officer for Navy Unmanned and Small Combatants. navyleague.org

7:45 a.m. The Human Machine Team with David Honey, IC Senior Scientist in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, and Stacey Dixon, Director of Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity. defenseone.com

9 a.m. 201 Waterfront St. AFA’s annual Air, Space & Cyber Conference with Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. David Goldfein. afa.org

10 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW. Mr. X and the Pacific: George F. Kennan and American policy in East Asia. brookings.edu

10 a.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. The Quetta Experience: Attitudes and Values Within the Pakistan Army. wilsoncenter.org

2:30 p.m. Senate Visitor Center 217. Closed Subcommittee Hearing on Interagency Coordination in the Protection of Critical Infrastructure with Kenneth Rapuano,

Assistant Secretary of Defense for Homeland Defense and Global Security. armed-services.senate.gov

WEDNESDAY | SEPT. 19

6:30 a.m. 2425 Wilson Blvd. Institute of Land Warfare Breakfast Series with Lt. Gen. James Pasquarette, Army Deputy Chief of Staff. ausa.org

8 a.m. 800 17th St. NW. Manufacturing Division Meeting. ndia.org

8:30 a.m. 201 Waterfront St. AFA’s annual Air, Space & Cyber Conference with Deputy Defense Secretary Pat Shanahan. afa.org

9 a.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Iran’s Missile Proliferation: A Conversation with Special Envoy Brian Hook. hudson.org

12:30 p.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. Iraq: Escalating Domestic and Regional Tensions. hudson.org

3:30 p.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. Book Launch: A Covert Action. csis.org

THURSDAY | SEPT. 20

7:30 a.m. 800 17th St. NW. Manufacturing Division Meeting. ndia.org

8 a.m. 2401 M St. NW. Defense Writers Group Breakfast with Kelly McKeague, Director of the Defense POW/MIA Accounting Agency.

9 a.m. 2301 Constitution Ave. RESOLVE Network 2018 Global Forum: Innovative Approaches to Understanding Violent Extremism. usip.org

11 a.m. 1000 Massachusetts Ave. NW. The Liberal International Order: Past, Present, and Future. cato.org

3:30 p.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW. Press Briefing: Analysis of the FY 2019 Defense Budget. csis.org

6 p.m. 529 23rd St. South. SO/LIC Division Social. ndia.org

FRIDAY | SEPT. 21

8 a.m. 300 First St. SE. The Post-NPR Nuclear Weapons Stockpile with Peter Fanta, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Nuclear Matters. mitchellaerospacepower.org

12 noon. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW. U.S.-Japan Cooperation in Strategic Island Defense with Retired Gen. James Conway, Former Marine Corps Commandant. hudson.org

MONDAY | SEPT. 24

8 a.m. 3701 Post Office Rd. The Industrial Committee on Test and Evaluation. ndia.org

QUOTE OF THE DAY
“Secretary Mattis lives by a code that is part of his DNA. … He is genetically incapable of lying, and genetically incapable of disloyalty.”
Former Pentagon spokesman retired Navy Capt. Jeff Davis, quoted in the New York Times.

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