Pandemic deaths may be three times higher than official count, WHO says

The number of COVID-19-related deaths could be two to three times higher than the current count, according to the World Health Organization.

Samira Asma, WHO’s assistant director-general in its data and analytics division, said at a press conference releasing the WHO’s annual World Health Statistics report that the worldwide death toll “would truly be two to three times higher … So, I think, safely, about 6 to 8 million deaths could be an estimate on a cautionary note.”

The current count from the WHO is over 3.4 million deaths worldwide. Total deaths from COVID-19 could be nearly 10.3 million if the true number is three times higher than the WHO’s count.

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According to the 2021 World Health Statistics report, “Available evidence from the countries with rapid mortality surveillance systems suggests that in many locations the reported number of COVID-19 deaths is a significant undercount of the full toll of the pandemic, and the estimated excess mortality can be many times higher.”

A recent estimate from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington suggested that the true number of COVID-19 deaths in the United States was closer to 900,000. That was 56% higher than the count at the time.

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The institute also found that COVID-19 deaths worldwide numbered 6.9 million, more than double the 3.2 million count in early May.

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